Match Info

LITHUANIA: I LYGA - ROUND 22

Date: 15 September 2023, Friday


	Babrungas Plungė		Marijampolė City

	1	X	2
	1.16	6.36	11.73
	1.13	8.2	13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.15 ↓ (1.31)	7.28 ↑ (4.99)	12.37 ↑ (6.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Babrungas Plungė
80%

Draw
12.6%

Marijampolė City
7.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.5%

18%

13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.2%

17.3%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Babrungas Plungė has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Babrungas Plungė's performance.

Marijampolė City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marijampolė City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Babrungas Plungė than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Babrungas Plungė that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marijampolė City than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marijampolė City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Babrungas Plungė - Marijampolė City Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Babrungas will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Marijampolė City will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ A Lyga (Promotion: ) and 5).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Babrungas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Babrungas is absolute favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Babrungas won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Babrungas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Babrungas Plungė
Lithuanian Division 2
31.08.23	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Babrungas Plungė	1:1 ✺
26.08.23	BFA Vilnius - Babrungas Plungė	1:2 ✺
18.08.23	Babrungas Plungė - Ekranas	3:1 ✺
12.08.23	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Babrungas Plungė	2:1 ✺
04.08.23	Babrungas Plungė - Panevėžys 2	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWWLW
- Marijampolė City
Lithuanian Division 2
06.09.23	Marijampolė City - Riteriai 2	0:4 ✺
30.08.23	Marijampolė City - BFA Vilnius	0:0 ✺
26.08.23	Ekranas - Marijampolė City	0:1 ✺
21.08.23	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Marijampolė City	6:0 ✺
14.08.23	Panevėžys 2 - Marijampolė City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
23.04.23	Marijampolė City - Babrungas Plungė	0:3
03.09.22	Babrungas Plungė - Marijampolė City	4:1
30.04.22	Marijampolė City - Babrungas Plungė	3:1

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