Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 29

Date: 31 March 2024, Sunday


	Badajoz		Getafe B

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.88	3.2
	2.2	2.8	3.25
	2.3	2.95	3.25
	2.19	3	3.57
	2.18	3	3.57
	2.17	2.84	3.77
	2.24	2.85	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.5)	2.9 ↑ (2.89)	3.42 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Badajoz
41.5%

Draw
31.6%

Getafe B
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

31.6%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

31.9%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Badajoz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Getafe B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Badajoz than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Badajoz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Getafe B than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Getafe B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	37.5%	12.5%

Badajoz - Getafe B Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Badajoz will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Getafe B will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Badajoz: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
84', 0 - 1, Garcia S. ⚽,
90+6', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Getafe B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Badajoz will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Badajoz won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Badajoz
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
23.03.24	Cacereño - Badajoz	1:1 ✺
17.03.24	Badajoz - Villanovense	0:0 ✺
10.03.24	Talavera de la Reina - Badajoz	1:2 ✺
03.03.24	Badajoz - Navalcarnero	0:0 ✺
25.02.24	Ursaria - Badajoz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 TTWTL
- Getafe B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
24.03.24	Getafe B - Villanovense	4:1 ✺
17.03.24	Navalcarnero - Getafe B	0:0 ✺
10.03.24	Getafe B - Numancia	0:3 ✺
02.03.24	Illescas - Getafe B	0:0 ✺
25.02.24	Getafe B - Atlético Paso	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
19.11.23	Getafe B - Badajoz	0:0

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