Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 25

Date: 3 March 2024, Sunday


	Badajoz		Navalcarnero

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.25	5.25
	1.63	3.1	5.25
	1.66	3.4	5.5	Watch
	1.61	3.15	4.75
	1.68	3.19	6.24
	1.67	3.25	5.82
	1.66	3.25	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (2.07)	3.23 ↑ (2.92)	5.46 ↑ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Badajoz
55.1%

Draw
28.2%

Navalcarnero
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

31.3%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

31.7%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Badajoz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Badajoz's performance.

Navalcarnero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Navalcarnero might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Badajoz than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Badajoz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Navalcarnero could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Badajoz - Navalcarnero Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Badajoz is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Badajoz won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Badajoz
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
25.02.24	Ursaria - Badajoz	1:0 ✺
18.02.24	Badajoz - Numancia	1:0 ✺
11.02.24	UD San Fernando - Badajoz	2:1 ✺
04.02.24	Badajoz - Illescas	0:0 ✺
27.01.24	CD Guadalajara - Badajoz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWLTT
- CDA Navalcarnero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
25.02.24	Navalcarnero - Numancia	1:1 ✺
18.02.24	Illescas - Navalcarnero	2:0 ✺
11.02.24	Navalcarnero - Atlético Paso	1:1 ✺
03.02.24	Llerenense - Navalcarnero	0:1 ✺
28.01.24	Navalcarnero - Montijo	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
22.10.23	Navalcarnero - Badajoz	3:1
Spanish Copa del Rey
17.12.20	Navalcarnero - Badajoz	1:0

Upcoming Matches