Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 24

Date: 25 February 2024, Sunday


	Ursaria		Badajoz

	1	X	2
	2.88	2.8	2.4
	2.75	2.85	2.45
	3	3	2.4
	2.71	2.83	2.34
	3.14	2.79	2.49
	3.08	2.95	2.41
	2.9	2.85	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.17)	2.87 ↑ (2.8)	2.42 ↓ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ursaria
31%

Draw
31.6%

Badajoz
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

32.1%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

30.9%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ursaria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ursaria's form might have worsened.

Badajoz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Badajoz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ursaria than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ursaria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Badajoz than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Badajoz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ursaria - Badajoz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Ursaria is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Badajoz is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ursaria won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDE Ursaria
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
18.02.24	Ursaria - UD San Fernando	1:1 ✺
11.02.24	CD Guadalajara - Ursaria	1:0 ✺
04.02.24	Ursaria - Unión Adarve	0:1 ✺
28.01.24	San Sebastian Reyes - Ursaria	3:1 ✺
21.01.24	Ursaria - Mensajero	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 TLLLT
- CD Badajoz
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
18.02.24	Badajoz - Numancia	1:0 ✺
11.02.24	UD San Fernando - Badajoz	2:1 ✺
04.02.24	Badajoz - Illescas	0:0 ✺
27.01.24	CD Guadalajara - Badajoz	1:1 ✺
21.01.24	Badajoz - Atlético Paso	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
15.10.23	Badajoz - Ursaria	1:1

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