Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 16

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Badajoz		Calamonte

	1	X	2
	1.29	4.5	9.25
	1.32	4.25	8.5
	1.35	4.24	8.84	Watch
	1.33	4.2	9
	1.33	4.15	9.15
	1.28	4.5	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.64)	4.31 ↑ (3.4)	9.12 ↑ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Badajoz
69%

Draw
21.1%

Calamonte
10%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

26.7%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

25.7%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Badajoz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Badajoz's performance.

Calamonte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Calamonte might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Badajoz than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Badajoz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calamonte than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Calamonte could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Badajoz - Calamonte Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Badajoz (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
76', 1 - 0, ⚽,
87', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

In this match, Badajoz is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Badajoz won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Badajoz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Badajoz
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
20.12.25	Puebla de la Calzada - Badajoz	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Badajoz - Jaraíz	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Montehermoso - Badajoz	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Badajoz - Villanovense	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	Cabeza del Buey - Badajoz	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TWWWL
- CD Calamonte
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
20.12.25	Calamonte - Pueblonuevo	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	Montijo - Calamonte	0:2 ✺
07.12.25	Calamonte - Moralo	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Diocesano - Calamonte	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Calamonte - Villafranca	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
09.08.25	Calamonte - Badajoz	0:0
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
06.04.25	Badajoz - Calamonte	3:0
24.11.24	Calamonte - Badajoz	1:1

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