Match Info

Date: 7 November 2021, Sunday


	Badalona		Numancia

	1	X	2
	4.5	3	1.78
	4.15	3.15	1.8
	3.9	3.2	1.84
	4.08	3.16	1.99
	3.92	3.22	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.11 ↓ (4.48)	3.15 ↓ (3.29)	1.87 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Badalona
22.2%

Draw
29%

Numancia
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.2%

27.6%

52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.2%

22.1%

65.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Badalona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Numancia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Badalona than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Badalona that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (+16.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Numancia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Badalona - Numancia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Badalona is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Numancia is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Numancia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Numancia have a series of home games.

In this match Numancia is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Badalona
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
31.10.21	Brea - Badalona	2:1 ✺
23.10.21	Badalona - Huesca B	1:1 ✺
16.10.21	Ejea - Badalona	0:2 ✺
10.10.21	Badalona - Peña Deportiva	0:1 ✺
03.10.21	Terrassa - Badalona	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTWLL
- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
31.10.21	Numancia - Prat	2:1 ✺
24.10.21	Numancia - Formentera	2:1 ✺
17.10.21	Brea - Numancia	1:0 ✺
10.10.21	Numancia - Huesca B	3:1 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
06.10.21	Numancia - Mérida AD	0:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLWL

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