Match Info

Brasileiro U20 - Round 12

Date: 18 May 2026, Monday


	Bahia U20		Athletico Paranaense U20

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.5	3.7
	1.78	3.6	3.65
	1.81	3.85	3.93
	1.81	3.61	3.86	Watch
	1.75	3.4	3.7
	1.74	3.66	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.97)	3.6 ↑ (3.53)	3.8 ↑ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bahia U20
51%

Draw
25.1%

Athletico Paranaense U20
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

26.2%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

26.3%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bahia U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Athletico Paranaense U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia U20 than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense U20 than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Bahia U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Renan Viana (Penalty Awarded),
24', 1 - 1, Reis I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 1 - 2, Kaue Vinicius ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bahia U20 won 1.

Bahia U20 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Athletico PR U20 is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bahia U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bahia U20 is the team to beat.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Bahia U20 won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Bahia U20 won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 0.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bahia U20
Brasileiro U20
14.05.26	América MG U20 - Bahia U20	2:2 ✺
06.05.26	São Paulo U20 - Bahia U20	2:3 ✺
30.04.26	Bahia U20 - Flamengo RJ U20	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Bahia U20 - Vitória U20	1:1 ✺
22.04.26	Botafogo RJ U20 - Bahia U20	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWWTL
- Athletico Paranaense U20
Brasileiro U20
13.05.26	Athletico Paranaense U20 - Red Bull Bragantino U20	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Paranaense U20
09.05.26	Athletico Paranaense U20 - Hope Internacional U20	2:0 ✺
Brasileiro U20
06.05.26	Athletico Paranaense U20 - Criciúma U20	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Paranaense U20
02.05.26	Galo Maringá U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20	5:2 ✺
Brasileiro U20
29.04.26	Corinthians U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro U20
26.03.25	Bahia U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20	1:0
07.08.24	Bahia U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20	0:0
23.03.23	Athletico Paranaense U20 - Bahia U20	1:0
04.07.21	Bahia U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20	2:2
03.10.20	Bahia U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20	2:3
Brazilian Copinha
11.01.20	Athletico Paranaense U20 - Bahia U20	2:1 penalties
Brasileiro U20
26.06.19	Bahia U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20	0:0

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