Match Info

Brasileiro U20 - Round 16

Date: 17 June 2026, Wednesday


	Bahia U20		Vasco da Gama U20

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.10	2.35
	2.68	3.1	2.4
	2.92	3.34	2.37
	2.88	3.17	2.35	Watch
	2.75	3	2.3
	2.81	3.22	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↓ (2.87)	3.16 ↓ (3.4)	2.35 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bahia U20
32.6%

Draw
28.7%

Vasco da Gama U20
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

27.4%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

26.9%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bahia U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Vasco da Gama U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia U20 than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama U20 than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Bahia U20 - Vasco da Gama U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Andrey Fernandes ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, Joao Coni ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bahia U20 won 1.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Vasco U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Bahia U20 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Bahia U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.6:1.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Vasco da Gama U20 - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 40.15%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bahia U20
Brazilian Baiano U20
13.06.26	Bahia U20 - Juazeirense U20	7:1 ✺
Brasileiro U20
10.06.26	Juventude U20 - Bahia U20	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Baiano U20
29.05.26	Bahia U20 - SSA U20	1:0 ✺
Brasileiro U20
27.05.26	Criciúma U20 - Bahia U20	1:1 ✺
21.05.26	Bahia U20 - Fortaleza U20	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWTW
- Vasco da Gama U20
Brasileiro U20
11.06.26	Vasco da Gama U20 - Cuiabá U20	2:1 ✺
27.05.26	Avaí U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	1:0 ✺
21.05.26	Vasco da Gama U20 - América MG U20	4:0 ✺
16.05.26	Corinthians U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	0:1 ✺
13.05.26	Fluminense U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro U20
10.04.25	Bahia U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	5:1
28.07.21	Bahia U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	0:1
Copa do Brasil U20
03.01.21	Vasco da Gama U20 - Bahia U20	3:3
27.12.20	Bahia U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	1:2
Brasileiro U20
05.11.20	Bahia U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	1:2
29.09.19	Bahia U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	1:2

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