The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vasco da Gama U20 61%
Draw 21.8%
América MG U20 17.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.5%
24.4%
19.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.4%
22.8%
17.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vasco da Gama U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
América MG U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama U20 than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for América MG U20 than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Vasco da Gama U20 - América MG U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
43', Belga P. 🟥,
45', 1 - 0, Melim L. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
61', 2 - 0, Pedro Augusto ⚽,
71', 3 - 0, Pedro Augusto ⚽,
86', 4 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vasco U20 won 2.
Vasco U20 has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
In recent matches, América MG U20 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Vasco U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Vasco U20 is considered a favorite.
We predict that Vasco U20 will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Vasco U20 won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.8:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Vasco U20 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).
Watch
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