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Current Win Probability
Fluminense U20 34.4%
Draw 29.4%
Vasco da Gama U20 36.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.5%
27.6%
33.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.2%
27.1%
33.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fluminense U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
Vasco da Gama U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense U20 than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama U20 than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Fluminense U20 - Vasco da Gama U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
81', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Carioca U20 (Taca Guanabara - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 3rd in the Promotion - Carioca U20 (Taca Guanabara - Playoffs - Quarter - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fluminense U20 won 0.
Each of the two teams has built an impressive run of consecutive wins.
Vasco U20 may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Fluminense U20 has recorded 4 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:19 (averaging 1:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Fluminense U20 against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 9:7 goals (averaging 1:0.8 per game).
Watch
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