Match Info

Date: 26 June 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Bahir Dar Kenema		Sebeta City

	1	X	2
	1.75	2.87	4.8
	1.72	3.15	4.75
	1.75	2.95	5
	1.74	2.84	5.38
	1.84	2.74	5.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.97)	2.91 ↑ (2.83)	5.1 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bahir Dar Kenema
51.3%

Draw
31%

Sebeta City
17.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.6%

31%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

29.7%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bahir Dar Kenema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bahir Dar Kenema's performance.

Sebeta City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sebeta City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahir Dar Kenema than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebeta City than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sebeta City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	11.1%	11.1%

Bahir Dar Kenema - Sebeta City Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Bahir Dar will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Sebeta City will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bahir Dar: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 16).

Recent matches Bahir Dar is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sebeta City is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bahir Dar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bahir Dar is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Bahir Dar won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Bahir Dar won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bahir Dar Kenema
Ethiopian Premier League
22.06.22	Bahir Dar Kenema - Dire Dawa City	1:0 ✺
18.06.22	Hawassa City - Bahir Dar Kenema	2:1 ✺
14.06.22	Saint George - Bahir Dar Kenema	2:2 ✺
23.05.22	Bahir Dar Kenema - Sidama Coffee	1:3 ✺
17.05.22	Bahir Dar Kenema - Adama City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLTLW
- Sebeta City FC
Ethiopian Premier League
23.06.22	Addis Ababa Ketema - Sebeta City	4:3 ✺
20.06.22	Sebeta City - Hadiya Hossana	0:0 ✺
16.06.22	Sebeta City - Fasil Kenema	0:1 ✺
22.05.22	Adama City - Sebeta City	3:0 ✺
18.05.22	Wolkite Kenema - Sebeta City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
21.02.22	Sebeta City - Bahir Dar Kenema	1:1
26.04.21	Bahir Dar Kenema - Sebeta City	1:2
19.01.21	Sebeta City - Bahir Dar Kenema	1:4

Bahir Dar Kenema - Sebeta City