Match Info
Premier League - Round 24Date: 13 March 2026, Friday
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Saint George |
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Bahir Dar Kenema |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.72 |
2.68 |
2.72 |
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2.79 |
2.59 |
2.94 |
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2.76 |
2.63 |
2.91 |
 Watch |
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2.7 |
2.5 |
2.8 |
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2.66 |
2.59 |
2.85 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.73 ↓
(2.76) |
2.6 ↓
(3.13) |
2.84 ↑
(2.47) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Saint George
33.2% | Draw
34.9% | Bahir Dar Kenema
31.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Saint George has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Bahir Dar Kenema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bahir Dar Kenema might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint George than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahir Dar Kenema than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bahir Dar Kenema could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Saint George - Bahir Dar Kenema Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Saint George will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Saint George (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 54', 0 - 1, Tefera A. ⚽,
- 60', 0 - 2, Tefera A. ⚽,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 and 10).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saint George won 1.Saint George is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).Bahir Dar has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).Bahir Dar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Saint George won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.3:1).Including home matches between the teams, Saint George won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.5:1.7).
Standings
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 6 | St. George | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 33:31 | 2 | 54 |
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| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 28:28 | 0 | 48 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Bahir Dar Kenema - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 37.26%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Ethiopian Premier League | | | 08.11.25 | Bahir Dar Kenema - Saint George | 1:3 | | 02.03.25 | Saint George - Bahir Dar Kenema | 1:4 | | 09.12.24 | Bahir Dar Kenema - Saint George | 0:0 | | 12.04.24 | Bahir Dar Kenema - Saint George | 1:1 | | 02.12.23 | Saint George - Bahir Dar Kenema | 1:2 | | 10.06.23 | Saint George - Bahir Dar Kenema | 2:2 | | 06.12.22 | Bahir Dar Kenema - Saint George | 0:0 |
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