Match Info
Premier League - Round 26Date: 10 April 2026, Friday
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Bahir Dar Kenema |
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Adama City |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.15 |
2.88 |
3.4 |
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 |
2.17 |
2.89 |
3.53 |
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 |
2.16 |
2.95 |
3.51 |
 Watch |
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2.15 |
2.7 |
3.4 |
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2.12 |
2.92 |
3.48 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.15 ↓
(2.16) |
2.87 ↓
(2.97) |
3.46 ↓
(3.48) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Bahir Dar Kenema
42.2% | Draw
31.6% | Adama City
26.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bahir Dar Kenema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Adama City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahir Dar Kenema than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bahir Dar Kenema that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adama City than the current prediction. (+4.5%)Bahir Dar Kenema - Adama City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 17', 1 - 0, Semu B. ⚽,
- 26', 1 - 1, Aitken B. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 63', 2 - 1, Tefera A. ⚽,
Preview
This time weโll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 9).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bahir Dar won 1.In recent matches, Bahir Dar has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).Adama City is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0). Bahir Dar might have a minor edge in this game.In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Bahir Dar won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 0.9:0.8).Including home matches between the teams, Bahir Dar won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1:0.6).
Standings
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 28:28 | 0 | 48 |
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| 15 | Adama City | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 35:39 | -4 | 46 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Ethiopian Premier League | | | 25.11.25 | Adama City - Bahir Dar Kenema | 1:0 | | 02.06.25 | Adama City - Bahir Dar Kenema | 2:0 | | 27.09.24 | Bahir Dar Kenema - Adama City | 0:1 | | 21.06.24 | Adama City - Bahir Dar Kenema | 2:3 | | 03.02.24 | Bahir Dar Kenema - Adama City | 1:2 | | 14.05.23 | Adama City - Bahir Dar Kenema | 0:1 | | 25.11.22 | Bahir Dar Kenema - Adama City | 1:0 |
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