Match Info

Premier League - Round 28

Date: 20 April 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Bahir Dar Kenema		Sheger Ketema

	1	X	2
	2.32	2.72	3.15
	2.47	2.89	3.3
	2.42	2.63	3.4	Watch
	2.2	2.63	3.3
	2.45	2.92	3.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.3)	2.76 ↓ (2.89)	3.26 ↑ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bahir Dar Kenema
38.6%

Draw
33.2%

Sheger Ketema
28.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.5%

31.5%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

31.2%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bahir Dar Kenema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Sheger Ketema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahir Dar Kenema than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sheger Ketema than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Bahir Dar Kenema - Sheger Ketema Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Bahir Dar will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bahir Dar (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
23', 0 - 1, Fikru B. ⚽,
31', 0 - 2, Shura B. ⚽, Abdo A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 12).

Bahir Dar is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sheger Ketema has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Bahir Dar is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bahir Dar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Bahir Dar Kenema	3	2	0	1	4:2	2	6
7	Sheger Ketema	4	1	2	1	3:3	0	5

Last Results with these Odds

Bahir Dar Kenema - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 39.53%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bahir Dar Kenema
Ethiopian Premier League
15.04.26	Ethiopian Medhin - Bahir Dar Kenema	1:1 ✺
10.04.26	Bahir Dar Kenema - Adama City	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Ethio Electric - Bahir Dar Kenema	0:0 ✺
13.03.26	Saint George - Bahir Dar Kenema	0:2 ✺
09.03.26	Bahir Dar Kenema - Negele Arsi Ketema	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TWTWT
- Sheger Ketema
Ethiopian Premier League
13.04.26	Sheger Ketema - Negele Arsi Ketema	1:1 ✺
08.04.26	Ethiopia Bunna - Sheger Ketema	1:1 ✺
03.04.26	Sheger Ketema - Arba Minch	1:2 ✺
13.03.26	Hadiya Hossana - Sheger Ketema	0:2 ✺
08.03.26	Sheger Ketema - Saint George	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
06.12.25	Sheger Ketema - Bahir Dar Kenema	3:1

Bahir Dar Kenema - Sheger Ketema