Match Info

I Liqa - Round 4

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday


	Gəncəbasar		Baku Sporting

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.05	6.3
	1.45	3.61	7.4	Watch
	1.39	3.9	6
	1.37	4.2	7.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.44)	3.94 ↓ (4.2)	6.68 ↑ (6.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gəncəbasar
63.9%

Draw
22.7%

Baku Sporting
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

21.8%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gəncəbasar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Baku Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Gəncəbasar - Baku Sporting Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 1 - 0, Achimi D. ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 0, Achimi D. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Premier League (Promotion: ) and 10th in the Relegation).

Bookmakers give the edge to Gəncəbasar for this game.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Gancabasar	4	4	0	0	9:2	7	12
10	Baku Sporting	4	0	0	4	0:9	-9	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gəncəbasar PFK
Azerbaijan First Division
17.09.26	Mingachevir - Gəncəbasar	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 W
- Baku Sporting
Azerbaijan First Division
17.09.26	Baku Sporting - Səbail	0:1 ✺
10.09.26	Zagatala - Baku Sporting	3:0 ✺
03.09.26	Baku Sporting - Karvan	0:3 ✺
22.05.26	Shahdag Qusar - Baku Sporting	1:1 ✺
15.05.26	Baku Sporting - Zagatala	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLTW

Gəncəbasar - Baku Sporting: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide