The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Baku Sporting 59%
Draw 24.2%
Zagatala 16.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.2%
23.1%
15.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.4%
22%
15%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Baku Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
Zagatala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baku Sporting than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Baku Sporting, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zagatala than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Baku Sporting - Zagatala Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
62', 1 - 0, Mukhtarly C. ⚽,
68', 2 - 0, Muradov I. ⚽,
77', 3 - 0, Bashirov K. ⚽,
Preview
In recent matches, Sporting has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Zagatala has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Sporting is seen as the favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.8:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Sporting won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).