Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 16

Date: 21 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Francisco Artés Carrasco (Lorca)


	Lorca Deportiva		Bala Azul

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.2	7
	1.34	4.4	7.6
	1.34	4.3	7.6
	1.35	4.38	8.46	Watch
	1.32	4.55	8.2
	1.34	4.4	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.51)	4.37 ↑ (3.6)	7.74 ↑ (6.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorca Deportiva
67.5%

Draw
20.8%

Bala Azul
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

25.3%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

25.2%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorca Deportiva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lorca Deportiva's performance.

Bala Azul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorca Deportiva than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lorca Deportiva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bala Azul than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Lorca Deportiva - Bala Azul Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Albiar D. ⚽,
26', 2 - 0, Albiar D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs: ) and 12).

Lorca Deportiva is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Bala Azul is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Lorca Deportiva is certain favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Lorca Deportiva won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0 (average 2:0).

Including matches at home between the teams Lorca Deportiva won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Lorca Deportiva
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
14.12.24	Alcantarilla - Lorca Deportiva	1:3 ✺
08.12.24	Lorca Deportiva - Caravaca	2:1 ✺
01.12.24	Minerva - Lorca Deportiva	2:2 ✺
17.11.24	El Palmar - Lorca Deportiva	1:0 ✺
09.11.24	Lorca Deportiva - Plus Ultra	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWTLW
- CD Bala Azul
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
15.12.24	Santomera - Bala Azul	1:1 ✺
08.12.24	UCAM Murcia B - Bala Azul	1:0 ✺
01.12.24	Bala Azul - Real Murcia B	1:0 ✺
24.11.24	Cartagena B - Bala Azul	0:0 ✺
16.11.24	Bala Azul - Deportivo Marítimo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
13.02.22	Lorca Deportiva - Bala Azul	1:0
09.10.21	Bala Azul - Lorca Deportiva	0:3

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