Match Info

NORTHERN IRELAND: NIFL CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 31

Date: 9 March 2024, Saturday


	Newington		Dergview

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.75	4
	1.7	4	4.2
	1.65	3.99	4
	1.65	3.99	4
	1.67	3.94	4.1
	1.76	3.85	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.83)	3.92 ↑ (3.75)	3.99 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newington
54.1%

Draw
23.2%

Dergview
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

24%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

20.9%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Dergview has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newington than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Newington that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dergview than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dergview could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Newington - Dergview Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Dergview is NIFL Championship (Relegation Group )

Recent matches Newington is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dergview is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Newington will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Newington won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Newington won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newington FC
Northern Irish Cup
02.03.24	Larne - Newington	4:1 ✺
Northern Irish Championship
27.02.24	Newington - Ards	1:0 ✺
24.02.24	Institute FC - Newington	2:0 ✺
20.02.24	Portadown - Newington	0:4 ✺
17.02.24	Newington - Ballinamallard United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LWLWL
- Dergview FC
Northern Irish Championship
05.03.24	Dergview - Ballinamallard United	0:0 ✺
27.02.24	Dergview - Annagh United	0:1 ✺
24.02.24	Knockbreda - Dergview	1:2 ✺
10.02.24	Dundela - Dergview	5:1 ✺
03.02.24	Dergview - Harland & Wolff Welders	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
09.09.23	Newington - Dergview	3:2
29.04.23	Newington - Dergview	3:1
31.01.23	Dergview - Newington	3:0
21.01.23	Dergview - Newington	3:0

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