Match Info

NORTHERN IRELAND: NIFL CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 33

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday


	Ards		Dergview

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.75	3.5
	1.83	4	3.5
	1.78	3.76	3.55
	1.78	3.76	3.55
	1.74	3.92	3.75
	1.77	3.9	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.78)	3.85 ↑ (3.81)	3.58 ↑ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ards
51.1%

Draw
23.6%

Dergview
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

23.7%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

23.2%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ards has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Dergview has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ards than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dergview than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', 1 - 0, Newell L. ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Ards is NIFL Championship (Relegation Group )

Dergview is NIFL Championship (Relegation Group )

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ards won 4.

Ards has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Dergview is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ards could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ards is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Ards won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 28-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Ards won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ards FC
Northern Irish Championship
19.03.24	Ards - Portadown	1:3 ✺
02.03.24	Dundela - Ards	4:0 ✺
27.02.24	Newington - Ards	1:0 ✺
24.02.24	Ards - Harland & Wolff Welders	0:1 ✺
17.02.24	Ards - Knockbreda	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Dergview FC
Northern Irish Championship
12.03.24	Dergview - Ballyclare Comrades	1:1 ✺
09.03.24	Newington - Dergview	3:0 ✺
05.03.24	Dergview - Ballinamallard United	0:0 ✺
27.02.24	Dergview - Annagh United	0:1 ✺
24.02.24	Knockbreda - Dergview	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
04.11.23	Dergview - Ards	0:3
16.09.23	Ards - Dergview	4:2
28.02.23	Dergview - Ards	2:1
25.02.23	Dergview - Ards	2:3
01.10.22	Ards - Dergview	5:2
26.02.22	Dergview - Ards	2:2
19.11.21	Ards - Dergview	1:2

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