Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - FINAL

Date: 24 August 2023, Thursday

Location: Stadiumi Fadil Vokrri (Pristina)

Referee: Chinkov V. (Bul)


	Ballkani		BATE Borisov

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.75	5	Watch
	1.66	3.7	4.4
	1.67	3.75	5
	1.73	3.8	4.75
	1.68	3.82	5.16
	1.66	3.94	4.9
	1.72	3.9	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (2.18)	3.81 ↑ (3.3)	4.87 ↑ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ballkani
55.9%

Draw
24.7%

BATE Borisov
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

28.3%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

27.2%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ballkani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ballkani's performance.

BATE Borisov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and BATE Borisov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ballkani than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ballkani that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BATE Borisov than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that BATE Borisov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.2%	5.3%	10.5%

Ballkani - BATE Borisov Predictions

Users Predictions: Ballkani will win (32 of 38 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.62% – 95.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kolici E. (G) 2. Thaqi A. 5. Dellova L. 32. Jashanica B. 19. Trashi L. 7. Korenica M. 20. Kuc E. (C) 98. Kryeziu A. 10. Gripshi N. 9. Berisha A. 99. Tolaj B.	35. Kudravets A. (G) 17. Nechaev D. 3. Khadarkevich R. 5. Bane S. 14. Jimoh S. 10. Gromyko V. 15. Bocherov V. (C) 18. Grechikho D. 44. Malkevich V. 55. Laptev D. 80. Kontsevoy A.
Substitutes
4. Halili G. 12. Hoxha A. (G) 21. Kapra A. 8. Limaj V. 92. Ljuljanovic D. (G) 14. Marc-Olivier Y. 3. Potoku A. 23. Ramadani R. 18. Shala L.	90. Antilevski D. 28. Chernook K. 51. Dergachev V. (G) 50. Islamovic S. 99. Kovruk M. (G) 4. Martynov A. 23. Podstrelov D. 13. Shestyuk A. 33. Sotnikov V. 9. Vasilevich I. 24. Volkov S.
Coaches
Daja I.	Alsheuski K.

Preview

1st leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium.

Ballkani in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

BATE is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ballkani could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ballkani is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Ballkani to win the game is with odds 1.68.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KF Ballkani
Kosovo Superliga
20.08.23	Ballkani - Feronikeli	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
17.08.23	Lincoln Red Imps - Ballkani	1:3 ✺
Kosovo Superliga
13.08.23	Ballkani - Liria Prizren	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.08.23	Ballkani - Lincoln Red Imps	2:0 ✺
03.08.23	Larne - Ballkani	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWWW
- BATE Borisov
UEFA Europa League
17.08.23	BATE Borisov - Sheriff Tiraspol	2:2 ✺
10.08.23	Sheriff Tiraspol - BATE Borisov	5:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
01.08.23	BATE Borisov - Aris	3:5 ✺
26.07.23	Aris - BATE Borisov	6:2 ✺
18.07.23	BATE Borisov - Partizani Tirana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLLLW

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