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Current Win Probability
Baltika Kaliningrad 46.7%
Draw 29.2%
Dynamo Makhachkala 24.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.4%
30.1%
20.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.2%
31.8%
19.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Baltika Kaliningrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
Dynamo Makhachkala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baltika Kaliningrad than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Baltika Kaliningrad, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Makhachkala than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Baltika Kaliningrad - Dynamo Makhachkala Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
44. Lyubakov E. (G) 2. Varatynov S. 21. Anderson E. 24. Mouyokolo L. 22. Beveev M. (C) 10. Petrov I. 26. Belikov I. 68. Ryadno M. 7. Shiltsov K. 91. Gil B. 42. Pospelov V.
1. Volk D. (G) 13. Kagermazov S. 19. Zinovich K. 43. Akhmedov I. 72. Sandrachuk A. 7. Mastouri H. 21. Dzhabrailov A. 52. Smelov E. 88. Lesovoy D. 25. Agalarov G. (C) 9. Magomedov R.
Substitutes
77. Civic E. 64. Gasanbekov O. 4. Gassama N. 3. Kirsch I. 14. Kovac S. 81. Kukushkin I. (G) 1. Latyshonok E. (G) 57. Mamedov E. 40. Nikitin D. 9. Offor C. 59. Timofeev T. 15. Yenne T.
24. Alarcon A. 6. Apshatsev M. 47. Glushkov N. 16. Mrezigue H. 28. Serderov S. 77. Sundukov T. 36. Zaynudinov Z. (G)
Coaches
Talalaev A.
Evseev V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Varatynov S. (Own goal),
22', Beveev M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Varatynov S. ↓, Kirsch I. ↑,
46', Beveev M. ↓, Civic E. ↑,
47', 1 - 1, Pospelov V. ⚽,
60', Pospelov V. ↓, Yenne T. ↑,
62', Lesovoy D. ↓, Glushkov N. ↑,
62', Smelov E. ↓, Apshatsev M. ↑,
67', Apshatsev M. 🟨,
69', Kagermazov S. ↓, Sundukov T. ↑,
70', Gil B. ↓, Nikitin D. ↑,
73', Magomedov R. ↓, Mrezigue H. ↑,
73', Dzhabrailov A. ↓, Serderov S. ↑,
85', Shiltsov K. ↓, Kovac S. ↑,
Preview
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
In this match, Baltika is a strong favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baltika won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Baltika won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).