The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Baltika Kaliningrad 25.5%
Draw 28.1%
Spartak Moscow 46.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.3%
27%
46.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.2%
25.9%
48.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Baltika Kaliningrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Spartak Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baltika Kaliningrad than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Baltika Kaliningrad - Spartak Moscow Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Latyshonok E. (G) 22. Beveev M. 2. Varatynov S. 21. Anderson E. 4. Gassama N. 77. Civic E. 73. Petrov M. 8. Mendel A. (C) 5. Mourid A. 11. Titkov N. 9. Offor C.
98. Maksimenko A. (G) 83. Fernandes G. 3. Wooh C. 6. Babic S. 47. Zobnin R. (C) 68. Litvinov R. 7. Solari P. 18. Umyarov N. 19. Daku M. 10. Marquinhos 9. Ugalde M.
Substitutes
26. Belikov I. 91. Gil B. 14. Kovac S. 81. Kukushkin I. (G) 44. Lyubakov E. (G) 18. Moufi F. 24. Mouyokolo L. 10. Petrov I. 42. Pospelov V. 68. Ryadno M. 7. Shiltsov K. 15. Yenne T.
97. Denisov D. 4. Djiku A. 27. Dmitriev I. 56. Dovbnya A. (G) 24. Massalyga N. 33. Parada V. 62. Polekh P. 1. Pomazun I. (G) 25. Prutsev D. 17. Saus V. 40. Sorokin I.
Coaches
Talalaev A.
Carcedo J. C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Ugalde M. ⚽, Daku M. (A),
23', 1 - 1, Mendel A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', Beveev M. 🟨,
49', 1 - 2, Solari P. ⚽,
58', Petrov M. ↓, Moufi F. ↑,
58', Offor C. ↓, Gil B. ↑,
73', Mourid A. 🟨,
76', Wooh C. 🟨,
76', Fernandes G. 🟨,
76', Titkov N. 🟨,
77', Ugalde M. 🟨,
77', Solari P. ↓, Saus V. ↑,
78', Mendel A. ↓, Belikov I. ↑,
78', Civic E. ↓, Ryadno M. ↑,
83', 🟨,
85', Moufi F. ↓, Pospelov V. ↑,
88', Zobnin R. ↓, Parada V. ↑,
90+2', Marquinhos ↓, Dmitriev I. ↑,
90+2', Ugalde M. ↓, Prutsev D. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baltika won 3.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Baltika may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Baltika has had a series of away games.
Spartak M is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Baltika: Filin A.
(Knee Injury)
Shnaptsev M.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Spartak M: Zorin D.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Baltika won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.3:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Baltika won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).