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Current Win Probability
Krylya Sovetov 32.7%
Draw 30%
Baltika Kaliningrad 37.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
34.7%
30.9%
34.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.2%
29.2%
32.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Krylya Sovetov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
Baltika Kaliningrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krylya Sovetov than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Krylya Sovetov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baltika Kaliningrad than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Krylya Sovetov - Baltika Kaliningrad Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
39. Frolov E. (G) 97. Akhmetov I. 7. Banjac M. 72. Fernandez D. 3. Galdames T. 18. Lepskii I. 77. Makarov D. 26. Marin J. 67. Mukailov K. 5. Oroz D. (C) 20. Stolbov K.
44. Lyubakov E. (G) 21. Anderson E. 91. Gil B. 69. Golenkov E. 98. Iva G. 3. Kirsch I. 14. Kovac S. 8. Mendel A. (C) 10. Petrov I. 68. Ryadno M. 2. Varatynov S.
Substitutes
47. Bozhin S. 23. Chernov N. 17. Chesnokov I. 22. Fernando Costanza 4. Gorshkov Y. 80. Kokarev N. (G) 10. Kramaric M. 78. Malikov Pavlovich D. 15. Rasskazov N. 14. Saltykov N. 73. Shitov V. 8. Vityugov M.
22. Beveev M. 77. Civic E. 4. Gassama N. 81. Kukushkin I. (G) 1. Latyshonok E. (G) 18. Moufi F. 24. Mouyokolo L. 9. Offor C. 73. Petrov M. 11. Porokhov I. 42. Pospelov V. 7. Shiltsov K.
Coaches
Bulatov S.
Talalaev A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Golenkov E. ⚽, Petrov I. (A),
28', Mendel A. 🟨,
31', Ryadno M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Golenkov E. ↓, Offor C. ↑,
55', Ryadno M. ↓, Gassama N. ↑,
55', Varatynov S. ↓, Civic E. ↑,
59', Iva G. ↓, Moufi F. ↑,
60', Banjac M. ↓, Gorshkov Y. ↑,
60', Marin J. ↓, Vityugov M. ↑,
60', Akhmetov I. ↓, Kramaric M. ↑,
67', Gassama N. 🟨,
73', Mukailov K. ↓, Shitov V. ↑,
76', Makarov D. ↓, Saltykov N. ↑,
77', 0 - 2, Kirsch I. ⚽, Petrov I. (A),
78', Gil B. ↓, Shiltsov K. ↑,
85', Civic E. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Krylya Sovetov won 1.
Krylya Sovetov is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Baltika is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Krylya Sovetov could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Krylya Sovetov has recorded 7 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:13 (averaging 1.2:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Krylya Sovetov against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 10:7 goals (averaging 1.4:1 per game).
Belarus
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Frolov E. (G) 
Banjac M. 
Fernandez D. 
Galdames T. 
Marin J. 
Oroz D. (C) 
Anderson E. 
Gil B. 
Kovac S. 
Chesnokov I. 
Fernando Costanza 
Kramaric M. 
Gassama N. 
Moufi F. 
Mouyokolo L. 
Offor C. 
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