Match Info

Challenge League - Round 15

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Victor Tedesco Stadium (Hamrun)


	Marsa		Balzan

	1	X	2
	8.3	5.15	1.26	Watch
	7.93	5.49	1.25
	8.46	5.31	1.27	Watch
	9.5	4.8	1.25
	9.85	5.15	1.24
	7.5	4.75	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.59 ↓ (9)	5.11 ↓ (5.15)	1.26 ↑ (1.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marsa
10.5%

Draw
17.7%

Balzan
71.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.1%

17.6%

72.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Balzan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Marsa - Balzan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
24', 0 - 1, Scicluna J. ⚽,
42', 0 - 2, Dimeji A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
64', 0 - 3, Dimeji A. ⚽,
71', 1 - 3, Demanuele N. ⚽,
79', 1 - 4, Dimeji A. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenge League (Promotion Group: )).

Marsa has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Balzan has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Marsa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Balzan is the undeniable favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marsa FC
Maltese Challenge League
08.02.26	Vittoriosa Stars - Marsa	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Marsa - Żebbuġ Rangers	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Marsa - Santa Lucia	2:2 ✺
11.01.26	Melita - Marsa	3:2 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
04.01.26	Marsa - Naxxar Lions	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLTLL
- Balzan FC
Maltese Challenge League
08.02.26	Melita - Balzan	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	Balzan - Birżebbuġa St. Peters	3:0 ✺
17.01.26	St. Andrews - Balzan	0:2 ✺
10.01.26	Balzan - Vittoriosa Stars	4:1 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
04.01.26	Balzan - Birżebbuġa St. Peters	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWWWL

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