Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 35

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday


	Morpeth Town		Hyde United

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.3	2.42
	2.6	3.5	2.42
	2.58	3.67	2.44	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.4
	2.54	3.38	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.41)	3.39 ↑ (3.35)	2.41 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Morpeth Town
35.6%

Draw
26.8%

Hyde United
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

26.8%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

27.1%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Morpeth Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Hyde United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morpeth Town than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hyde United than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Morpeth Town - Hyde United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 1 - 0, Dowling W. ⚽,
59', Lloyd K. 🟥,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Morpeth won 0.

Morpeth has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Hyde has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Morpeth may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Morpeth won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:19. (average 1.5:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Morpeth won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:10. (average 2:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Hyde	12	4	2	6	13:21	-8	14

Last Results with these Odds

Morpeth Town - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 37.31%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Hyde United - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 35.9%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Morpeth Town
English NPL Premier Division
10.03.26	Cleethorpes Town - Morpeth Town	3:1 ✺
07.03.26	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Morpeth Town	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Morpeth Town - Ashton United	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Workington - Morpeth Town	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Morpeth Town - Warrington Rylands	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTTLL
- Hyde United
English NPL Premier Division
07.03.26	Hyde United - Prescot Cables	2:2 ✺
28.02.26	Warrington Town - Hyde United	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Hyde United - Hednesford Town	5:0 ✺
07.02.26	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Hyde United	1:1 ✺
03.02.26	Lancaster City - Hyde United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
01.11.25	Hyde United - Morpeth Town	2:0
25.01.25	Hyde United - Morpeth Town	1:1
21.09.24	Morpeth Town - Hyde United	2:2
27.01.24	Morpeth Town - Hyde United	1:5
25.11.23	Hyde United - Morpeth Town	2:1
07.04.23	Hyde United - Morpeth Town	1:2
27.08.22	Morpeth Town - Hyde United	3:0

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