Match Info

Chance Liga - Round 17

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Mestsky stadion v Ostrave-Vitkovicich (Ostrava)

Referee: Berka O. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1


	Baník Ostrava		Dukla Prague

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.8	5.5	Watch
	1.6	3.8	5.15
	1.58	3.96	6.05
	1.61	3.93	5.7	Watch
	1.57	3.8	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.76)	3.86 ↑ (3.46)	5.68 ↑ (4.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Baník Ostrava
59.2%

Draw
24.3%

Dukla Prague
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

26.9%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

26.2%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baník Ostrava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Baník Ostrava's performance.

Dukla Prague has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baník Ostrava than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dukla Prague than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Baník Ostrava - Dukla Prague Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Baník Ostrava will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Dukla Prague will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Baník Ostrava: 45% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Baník Ostrava will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Holec D. (G) 34. Bewene A. 17. Frydrych M. (C) 37. Chalus M. 6. Pojezny K. 80. Kricfalusi O. 5. Boula J. 21. Kohut M. 9. Buchta D. 18. Planka D. 29. Pira J.	1. Matrevics R. (G) 39. Kozma D. 4. Hunal E. 23. Svozil J. (C) 37. Pourzitidis M. 14. Tijani S. 95. Cernak M. 8. Gaszczyk P. 19. Cermak M. 3. Sehovic Z. 27. Cisse N.
Substitutes
1. Budinsky V. (G) 72. Drozd S. 8. Frydek Ch. 2. Havran M. 14. Jaron P. 19. Lischka D. 31. Munksgaard A. 55. Musak A. 25. Owusu D. 66. Rusnak M. 22. Zlatohlavek T.	12. Ambler M. 30. Holis R. 2. Isife S. 31. Jagrik A. (G) 16. Jedlicka T. 26. Kadak J. 9. Kroupa M. 15. Sebrle S. 22. Traore M. 5. Velasquez D. 20. Zitny M.
Coaches
Galasek T.	Holoubek D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', Frydrych M. 🟨,
31', Cermak M. ↓, Kadak J. ↑,
33', Hunal E. 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Kricfalusi O. ⚽, Planka D. (A),
40', 2 - 0, Kohut M. ⚽, Boula J. (A),
45+1', Kricfalusi O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', Kohut M. 🟨,
54', Kohut M. ↓, Zlatohlavek T. ↑,
59', 3 - 0, Boula J. ⚽, Buchta D. (A),
68', Kricfalusi O. ↓, Owusu D. ↑,
70', Cernak M. ↓, Isife S. ↑,
70', Pourzitidis M. ↓, Kroupa M. ↑,
70', Sehovic Z. ↓, Velasquez D. ↑,
75', Gaszczyk P. ↓, Ambler M. ↑,
83', Buchta D. ↓, Frydek Ch. ↑,
83', Pira J. ↓, Musak A. ↑,
90', 3 - 1, Kroupa M. ⚽, Isife S. (A),

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 12 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baník Ostrava won 3.

Recent form of Baník Ostrava has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Dukla Prague has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Baník Ostrava has had a series of away games.

In this match, Baník Ostrava is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Baník Ostrava: Almasi L. (Hernia) Holzer D. (Knee Injury) Kubala F. (Knee Injury) Latal D. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Dukla Prague: Diallo B. (Injury) Emeka C. (Injury) Mikus R. (Knee Injury) Peterka J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Baník Ostrava: Havran M. (Injury) Plavsic S. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Dukla Prague: Hasek D. (Injury) Kadak J. (Inactive)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Baník Ostrava won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:23. (average 1.4:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Baník Ostrava won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:7. (average 2.1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baník Ostrava
Czech 1 Liga
22.11.25	Teplice - Baník Ostrava	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Baník Ostrava - Jablonec	0:1 ✺
Czech Cup
05.11.25	Pardubice - Baník Ostrava	3:4 ET ✺
Czech 1 Liga
01.11.25	Slavia Prague - Baník Ostrava	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Viktoria Plzeň - Baník Ostrava	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWLL
- Dukla Prague
Czech 1 Liga
22.11.25	Dukla Prague - Sigma Olomouc	2:2 ✺
08.11.25	Dukla Prague - Mladá Boleslav	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	Pardubice - Dukla Prague	1:1 ✺
Czech Cup
28.10.25	Jablonec - Dukla Prague	2:1 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
25.10.25	Dukla Prague - Slovácko	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Czech 1 Liga
03.08.25	Dukla Prague - Baník Ostrava	1:1
12.04.25	Dukla Prague - Baník Ostrava	1:2
09.11.24	Baník Ostrava - Dukla Prague	6:0
08.02.19	Dukla Prague - Baník Ostrava	1:1
25.08.18	Baník Ostrava - Dukla Prague	2:0
17.03.18	Baník Ostrava - Dukla Prague	1:2
15.09.17	Dukla Prague - Baník Ostrava	2:0

Upcoming Matches