Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 5 September 2025, Friday


	Baník Ostrava B		Polonia Bytom

	1	X	2
	2.06	4.26	2.58
	4.25	4.47	1.62	Watch
	2.14	4.06	2.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (1.82)	4.26 ↑ (4.16)	2.34 ↓ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baník Ostrava B
34.9%

Draw
23.1%

Polonia Bytom
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

21.4%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

21.5%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baník Ostrava B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Baník Ostrava B's form might have worsened.

Polonia Bytom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Polonia Bytom's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baník Ostrava B than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Baník Ostrava B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Bytom than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Polonia Bytom, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Baník Ostrava B - Polonia Bytom Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Moucka M. (G) 20. Graclik J. 13. Hruska J. 3. Krupicka D. 26. Kulyk M. 15. Matusinsky L. 5. Nogha R. 21. Sirotek T. 7. Subert M. 18. Temel M. 39. Zajac D.	39. Mazur K. (G) 23. Arak J. 22. Calavera J. 25. Konieczny D. 30. Krzyzak O. 8. Labojko M. 19. Sarmiento J. 16. Stefanski P. 14. Szymusik G. 29. Terlecki K. 7. Zielinski L.
Substitutes
. Dolezel F. 9. Holan D. 22. Ogbu E. 12. Pinkas S. . Rucka F.	21. Machaczek 20. Mirowski M. 33. Rybacki J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
9', 0 - 1, Arak J. ⚽,
21', 0 - 2, Arak J. ⚽,
35', 0 - 3, Stefanski P. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
66', 0 - 4, ⚽,
79', 0 - 5, ⚽,
83', 1 - 5, ⚽,

Preview

Baník Ostrava B is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Polonia Bytom's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Baník Ostrava B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Baník Ostrava B is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baník Ostrava B
Czech Division 2
03.09.25	Baník Ostrava B - Hanácká Slavia Kroměříž	3:0 ✺
31.08.25	Baník Ostrava B - Prostějov	2:0 ✺
22.08.25	Příbram - Baník Ostrava B	2:0 ✺
17.08.25	Baník Ostrava B - Chrudim	2:2 ✺
08.08.25	Táborsko - Baník Ostrava B	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WWLTW
- Polonia Bytom
Club Friendly
04.09.25	Cracovia - Polonia Bytom	0:0 ✺
Polish Division 1
30.08.25	Polonia Bytom - Wieczysta Kraków	4:2 ✺
24.08.25	Ruch Chorzów - Polonia Bytom	1:1 ✺
20.08.25	Polonia Bytom - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	3:0 ✺
17.08.25	Pogoń Siedlce - Polonia Bytom	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TWTWL

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