Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 4 September 2025, Thursday


	Cracovia		Polonia Bytom

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.1	4.8	Watch
	1.75	3.95	3.55
	1.93	3.77	3.28	Watch
	1.71	3.76	4.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.46)	3.9 ↓ (5.1)	3.91 ↓ (4.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cracovia
53.1%

Draw
23.5%

Polonia Bytom
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.9%

18%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.5%

17.3%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cracovia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cracovia's form might have worsened.

Polonia Bytom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cracovia than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cracovia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Bytom than the current prediction. (-5%)

Cracovia - Polonia Bytom Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Ravas H. (G) 24. Jugas J. 43. Klich M. 20. Knap K. 19. Olafsson D. 79. Pila D. 7. Praszelik M. 10. Rakoczy M. 21. Sutalo B. 61. Traore B. 18. Zahiroleslam K.	39. Mazur K. (G) 11. Andrzejczak K. 27. Apolinarski J. 13. Azatsky O. 4. Bakala M. 18. Gajda T. 15. Kwiatkowski O. 5. Matic M. 26. Michalski K. 31. Szymanski J. 9. Wojtyra K.
Substitutes
22. Biedrzycki B. 4. Henriksson G. 13. Madejski S. (G) 39. Perkovic M. 28. Polak D. . Tabisz M.	25. Konieczny D. 33. Rybacki J. (G) 29. Terlecki K. 17. Wolkowicz K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+3', Gajda T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sutalo B. ↓, Perkovic M. ↑,
46', Klich M. ↓, Biedrzycki B. ↑,
62', Olafsson D. ↓, Tabisz M. ↑,
62', Jugas J. ↓, Henriksson G. ↑,
76', Traore B. ↓, Polak D. ↑,

Preview

Cracovia is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Polonia Bytom has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Cracovia is the clear favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cracovia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Cracovia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cracovia Krakow
Polish Ekstraklasa
31.08.25	Cracovia - Legia Warsaw	2:1 ✺
24.08.25	Piast Gliwice - Cracovia	0:0 ✺
15.08.25	Cracovia - Widzew Łódź	1:0 ✺
10.08.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - Cracovia	5:2 ✺
Club Friendly
04.08.25	Cracovia - Asteras Tripolis	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WTWL?
- Polonia Bytom
Polish Division 1
30.08.25	Polonia Bytom - Wieczysta Kraków	4:2 ✺
24.08.25	Ruch Chorzów - Polonia Bytom	1:1 ✺
20.08.25	Polonia Bytom - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	3:0 ✺
17.08.25	Pogoń Siedlce - Polonia Bytom	2:0 ✺
09.08.25	Polonia Bytom - Stal Rzeszów	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
29.06.24	Cracovia - Polonia Bytom	2:1
Polish Division 1
25.05.13	Cracovia - Polonia Bytom	2:0

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