Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 27

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday


	Bury Town		Bromsgrove Sporting

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.55	3.25
	1.95	3.75	3.44	Watch
	1.9	3.6	3.2
	1.92	3.44	3.45
	1.93	3.6	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (1.97)	3.59 ↓ (3.77)	3.35 ↑ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bury Town
47.4%

Draw
25.4%

Bromsgrove Sporting
27.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.1%

24.6%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

23.9%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bury Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Bromsgrove Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bury Town than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bromsgrove Sporting than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Bury Town - Bromsgrove Sporting Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 1 - 0, Quantrell G. ⚽,
65', 1 - 1, Benbow L. ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 15 and 17)

Bury Town has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bromsgrove's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Bromsgrove may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bury Town could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bury Town won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Bury Town	13	10	1	2	23:15	8	31
3	Bromsgrove	12	8	3	1	21:11	10	27

Outrights of English Southern League Central Division for now

Bromsgrove: 5.67% Bury Town: 4.92%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bury Town
English Southern League Central Division
27.12.25	Sudbury Town - Bury Town	0:3 ✺
20.12.25	Bury Town - Stourbridge	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Kettering Town - Bury Town	3:3 ✺
06.12.25	Bury Town - Barwell	4:0 ✺
29.11.25	Bury Town - Stratford Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WTTWL
- Bromsgrove Sporting
English Southern League Central Division
03.01.26	Halesowen Town - Bromsgrove Sporting	3:1 ✺
27.12.25	Bromsgrove Sporting - Redditch United	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Bishops Stortford - Bromsgrove Sporting	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Bromsgrove Sporting - Stratford Town	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	Sudbury Town - Bromsgrove Sporting	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
11.10.25	Bromsgrove Sporting - Bury Town	2:2

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