Match Info

KENYA: Premier League - Round 23

Date: 2 March 2025, Sunday


	Bandari		Tusker

	1	X	2
	2.98	2.7	2.5
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↓ (3.98)	2.7 ↓ (2.84)	2.5 ↑ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bandari
30.3%

Draw
33.5%

Tusker
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

33.2%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

33%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bandari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bandari's performance.

Tusker has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tusker might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bandari than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bandari that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tusker than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tusker could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bandari - Tusker Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 7 and 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bandari won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Tusker could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Tusker will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Bandari won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 12:16 (average 0.8:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Bandari won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8:10 (average 1.1:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bandari FC
Kenyan Premier League
19.02.25	Kenya CB - Bandari	1:0 ✺
15.02.25	Bandari - Talanta	2:3 ✺
08.02.25	Bandari - Sofapaka	1:0 ✺
02.02.25	Muranga Seal - Bandari	2:3 ✺
26.01.25	Bandari - Nairobi City Stars	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LLWWW
- Tusker
Kenyan Premier League
26.02.25	Tusker - Shabana	1:1 ✺
16.02.25	Gor Mahia - Tusker	0:0 ✺
08.02.25	Tusker - Police FC	0:0 ✺
02.02.25	Tusker - Kenya CB	0:0 ✺
25.01.25	Ulinzi Stars - Tusker	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
15.01.25	Tusker - Bandari	1:0
26.08.23	Bandari - Tusker	0:1
08.03.23	Tusker - Bandari	1:0
08.01.23	Bandari - Tusker	2:1
06.02.22	Bandari - Tusker	0:2
02.02.22	Tusker - Bandari	1:0
04.08.21	Bandari - Tusker	2:1

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