Match Info

Premier League - Round 4

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday


	Tusker		Shabana

	1	X	2
	1.97	3.06	3.7
	2.26	2.69	3.68	Watch
	2.01	3.04	3.68
	2.55	2.95	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.45)	2.94 ↓ (2.99)	3.48 ↑ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Tusker
42%

Draw
31.5%

Shabana
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

30.2%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tusker has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tusker's performance.

Shabana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shabana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Tusker - Shabana Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Tusker (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Shabana (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tusker (votes: 1 - 50%). Shabana (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
78', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Tusker won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Tusker won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tusker
Kenyan Premier League
01.10.25	Tusker - Mathare United	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Posta Rangers - Tusker	2:1 ✺
19.09.25	Tusker - Kenya CB	0:2 ✺
18.05.25	Sofapaka - Tusker	7:1 ✺
14.05.25	Talanta - Tusker	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLLLL
- Shabana FC
Kenyan Premier League
28.09.25	Bandari - Shabana	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	Shabana - APS Bomet	4:2 ✺
18.05.25	Shabana - Mara Sugar	0:1 ✺
14.05.25	Shabana - Bidco United	2:1 ✺
09.05.25	Kenya CB - Shabana	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
26.02.25	Tusker - Shabana	1:1
11.01.25	Shabana - Tusker	2:1
11.02.24	Shabana - Tusker	0:4
06.10.23	Tusker - Shabana	0:1

Upcoming Matches