Match Info

Date: 5 August 2022, Friday

Location: Estadio Florencio Sola (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Penel A. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TV Publica


	Banfield		Patronato Parana

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.4	4
	1.95	3.2	3.9
	1.96	3.25	3.85
	1.98	3.25	3.75
	2.01	3.35	4.18
	1.99	3.26	3.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.87)	3.29 ↓ (3.49)	3.94 ↓ (4.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Banfield
47.6%

Draw
28.6%

Patronato Parana
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

26.8%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

28.4%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Banfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Patronato Parana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Banfield than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Banfield, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.1%	41.2%	11.8%

Banfield - Patronato Parana Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Banfield will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). Patronato will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 41.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Banfield: 23.4% – 70.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 14 and 8).

Banfield has the most likely position - 18 (4.86%), has project points - 35, has currently - 14, has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Patronato has the most likely position - 18 (5.22%), has project points - 35, has currently - 17, has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 34, very small importance 5, small match rating 20. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Banfield won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Banfield will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Banfield: Cuero M. (Injury) Maldonado A. (Injury)

There will not play in Patronato: Quintana C. (Injury) Vazquez F. (Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Banfield won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Banfield won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Banfield
Argentinian Liga Profesional
30.07.22	Estudiantes La Plata - Banfield	0:0 ✺
25.07.22	Banfield - Argentinos Juniors	1:1 ✺
21.07.22	Talleres de Córdoba - Banfield	1:0 ✺
17.07.22	Banfield - San Lorenzo	1:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
12.07.22	Banfield - Unión Santa Fe	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TTLTW
- Patronato Parana
Argentinian Liga Profesional
31.07.22	Patronato Parana - Boca Juniors	3:0 ✺
26.07.22	Barracas Central - Patronato Parana	2:1 ✺
20.07.22	Patronato Parana - Tigre	1:0 ✺
14.07.22	Central Córdoba - Patronato Parana	1:3 ✺
09.07.22	Patronato Parana - Arsenal Sarandí	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
10.04.22	Patronato Parana - Banfield	0:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
24.08.21	Patronato Parana - Banfield	1:1
26.01.20	Banfield - Patronato Parana	3:3
01.09.18	Banfield - Patronato Parana	1:0
12.05.18	Patronato Parana - Banfield	0:0
28.10.16	Patronato Parana - Banfield	2:0
17.04.16	Patronato Parana - Banfield	0:2

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