Match Info

TOPLYGA - Round 24

Date: 3 September 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Gargzdai stadium (Gargzdai) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Svegzda D. (Ltu)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Usa	12:00	SportsEngine Play


	Banga Gargždai		Panevėžys

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.95	3.25	3.30
	1.81	3.10	3.80
	1.99	3.48	3.68
	1.87	3.38	4.18	Watch
	1.89	3.4	3.9
	1.89	3.66	3.77	Watch
	1.91	3.25	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.74)	3.36 ↓ (3.93)	3.73 ↓ (4.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Banga Gargždai
48.2%

Draw
27.3%

Panevėžys
24.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.3%

23.6%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

23.1%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Banga Gargždai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Banga Gargždai's form might have worsened.

Panevėžys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Banga Gargždai than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Banga Gargždai, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panevėžys than the current prediction. (-2%)

Banga Gargždai - Panevėžys Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. Krynskyi V. (G) 19. Antuzis V. 27. Henning R. 6. Simao J. 51. Cadu 11. Filipavicius R. 13. Zebrauskas N. (C) 45. Sato M. 10. Magdusauskas V. 99. Olugbogi A. 77. Venckus I.	1. Cerniauskas V. (C) 5. van den Bos M. 13. Kerkez S. 33. Keita S. 95. Bopesu J. 27. Asamoah K. 77. Bizoza P. 6. Ramanauskas M. 79. Paulauskas V. 24. Petkevicius N. 28. Burdzilauskas E.
Substitutes
22. Ambrazaitis M. 17. Andrejev M. 9. Appiah A. 30. Cande U. 12. Grinkevicius L. (G) 20. Levsinas A. 28. Lukas D. 7. Norvilas D. 55. Sheriff M. 1. Vitkauskas A. (G)	34. Asante I. 66. Balsys D. 22. Brazinskas A. (G) 11. Grajfoner L. 15. Janusevskis J. 4. Mzoughi R. 32. Rasimavicius R. 12. Valius L. (G) 7. Veliulis E.
Coaches
Marques Afonso D.	Korkeakunnas T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Burdzilauskas E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
68', 🟨,
76', 0 - 2, ⚽,
89', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Banga won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Banga is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Banga won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 16:30. (average 0.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Banga won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 1.1:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Banga	30	11	9	10	33:30	3	42
7	FK Panevezys	30	10	5	15	32:46	-14	35

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Banga Gargždai
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
30.08.26	Banga Gargždai - Kauno Žalgiris	0:0 ✺
23.08.26	Hegelmann Litauen - Banga Gargždai	1:1 ✺
16.08.26	Žalgiris - Banga Gargždai	2:3 ✺
09.08.26	Banga Gargždai - Sūduva Marijampolė	1:3 ✺
03.08.26	FA Šiauliai - Banga Gargždai	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TTWLW
- FK Panevėžys
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
30.08.26	Panevėžys - Žalgiris	2:0 ✺
23.08.26	Sūduva Marijampolė - Panevėžys	2:0 ✺
17.08.26	FA Šiauliai - Panevėžys	1:0 ✺
10.08.26	Transinvest - Panevėžys	0:2 ✺
03.08.26	Panevėžys - Džiugas Telšiai	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian TOPLYGA
24.05.26	Panevėžys - Banga Gargždai	1:0
21.03.26	Banga Gargždai - Panevėžys	0:1
18.10.25	Banga Gargždai - Panevėžys	2:2
20.08.25	Panevėžys - Banga Gargždai	1:0
23.05.25	Banga Gargždai - Panevėžys	1:1
30.03.25	Panevėžys - Banga Gargždai	1:1
15.09.24	Banga Gargždai - Panevėžys	2:3

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