Match Info

TOPLYGA - Round 16

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Telsiai Central Stadium (Telsiai)

Referee: Bartuskevicius K. (Ltu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Lithuania	LNK


	Džiugas Telšiai		Panevėžys

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.25	3.05	Watch
	2.15	3.59	3.3
	2.12	3.7	3.06	Watch
	2.1	3.3	3
	2.16	3.47	3.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (2.02)	3.46 ↑ (3.35)	3.11 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Džiugas Telšiai
43.6%

Draw
26.7%

Panevėžys
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

26.7%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

26.6%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Džiugas Telšiai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Panevėžys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Džiugas Telšiai than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panevėžys than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Džiugas Telšiai - Panevėžys Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Džiugas (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Džiugas Telšiai will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Paukste M. (G) 33. Ankudinovas L. (C) 24. Okpolokpo J. 23. Cisse I. 2. Vermeulen V. 16. Chapi 8. Bunchukov D. 14. Zevzikovas D. 46. Wawszczyk J. 90. Sobowale R. 9. Scotto I. E.	1. Cerniauskas V. (C) 15. Janusevskis J. 13. Kerkez S. 95. Bopesu J. 27. Asamoah K. 28. Burdzilauskas E. 6. Ramanauskas M. 7. Veliulis E. 8. Kouadio S. 17. Kurtsev O. 80. Elivelton
Substitutes
44. Asomugha B. 77. Marchuk A. 6. Pavlovskij N. 10. Piliukaitis V. 91. Ryabenko V. (G) 48. Stelmokas T. 27. Vinckus D.	21. Adah J. 34. Asante I. 16. Bacanin M. 66. Balsys D. 22. Brazinskas A. (G) 11. Grajfoner L. 9. Muratovic E. 4. Mzoughi R. 12. Valius L. (G)
Coaches
Lipskis A.	Korkeakunnas T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Vermeulen V. ⚽, Ankudinovas L. (A),
26', 2 - 0, Sobowale R. ⚽, Zevzikovas D. (A),
28', Cisse I. 🟨,
30', Elivelton 🟨,
32', Kerkez S. 🟨,
41', Zevzikovas D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Kouadio S. ↓, Asante I. ↑,
46', Kurtsev O. ↓, Bacanin M. ↑,
46', Burdzilauskas E. ↓, Muratovic E. ↑,
65', Janusevskis J. 🟥,
66', 3 - 0, Scotto I. E. (Penalty Awarded),
67', Elivelton ↓, Grajfoner L. ↑,
69', Asamoah K. 🟨,
70', Wawszczyk J. ↓, Pavlovskij N. ↑,
70', Ankudinovas L. ↓, Piliukaitis V. ↑,
70', Scotto I. E. ↓, Vinckus D. ↑,
77', Asamoah K. ↓, Balsys D. ↑,
78', Cisse I. ↓, Asomugha B. ↑,
80', 4 - 0, Piliukaitis V. (Penalty Awarded),
81', Bopesu J. 🟨,
83', Zevzikovas D. ↓, Stelmokas T. ↑,
90', Pavlovskij N. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Džiugas won 2.

Džiugas is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Panevėžys has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Panevėžys may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Džiugas has had a series of home games.

Džiugas could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Džiugas won 3 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 15:29. (average 0.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Džiugas won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:17. (average 0.8:1.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Dziugas Telsiai	28	10	8	10	36:40	-4	38
7	FK Panevezys	28	9	5	14	29:43	-14	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Džiugas Telšiai
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
24.05.26	Džiugas Telšiai - Transinvest	3:2 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
20.05.26	Džiugas Telšiai - Banga Gargždai	1:0 penalties ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
16.05.26	Džiugas Telšiai - Banga Gargždai	0:1 ✺
09.05.26	Džiugas Telšiai - Riteriai	1:0 ✺
05.05.26	Kauno Žalgiris - Džiugas Telšiai	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWLWT
- FK Panevėžys
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
24.05.26	Panevėžys - Banga Gargždai	1:0 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
20.05.26	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Panevėžys	0:3 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
15.05.26	Riteriai - Panevėžys	FK Panevezys Awarded ✺
10.05.26	Panevėžys - Kauno Žalgiris	1:1 ✺
06.05.26	Hegelmann Litauen - Panevėžys	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WW?TL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian TOPLYGA
05.04.26	Panevėžys - Džiugas Telšiai	0:1
Club Friendly
10.01.26	Panevėžys - Džiugas Telšiai	1:1
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
26.10.25	Džiugas Telšiai - Panevėžys	1:4
08.08.25	Panevėžys - Džiugas Telšiai	0:1
13.06.25	Džiugas Telšiai - Panevėžys	1:1
12.04.25	Panevėžys - Džiugas Telšiai	0:1
22.10.24	Panevėžys - Džiugas Telšiai	0:0

Džiugas Telšiai - Panevėžys: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide