Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 31 July 2025, Thursday

Location: Gargzdai stadium (Gargzdai)

Referee: Kachevski J. (Mkd)

Where to Watch on TV:


Lithuania	Delfi TV
Norway	VG+


	Banga Gargždai		Rosenborg

	1	X	2
	6.5	5.25	1.36	Watch
	9.25	5.5	1.26
	8	5.5	1.3	Watch
	8.62	5.43	1.31
	8.26	4.38	1.39	Watch
	13	6	1.2
	10.2	5.57	1.31	Watch
	8.5	5.5	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.04 ↑ (8.5)	5.39 ↓ (5.5)	1.3 ↑ (1.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Banga Gargždai
10.4%

Draw
17.4%

Rosenborg
72.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.7%

16.5%

72.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Banga Gargždai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Rosenborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.5%	15.8%	73.7%

Banga Gargždai - Rosenborg Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Banga will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). Rosenborg will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rosenborg: 53.9% – 93.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Banga (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Rosenborg (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Banga (2.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2, 1st Half - Banga (1.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Banga (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Rosenborg (votes: 4 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
55. Bertasius M. (G) 19. Antuzis V. (C) 3. Malzinskas D. 4. Simao J. 8. Hugo Figueredo 30. Laton 18. Srebalius P. 5. Victory A. 10. Magdusauskas V. 14. Seedorf S. 9. Emsis A.	1. Tangvik S. (G) 16. Witry A. F. 50. Volden H. 21. Nemcik T. 23. Jenssen U. 6. Vaananen S. 10. Selnaes O. (C) 7. Nordli S. 45. Reitan-Sunde J. 18. Holm N. 35. Ceide E. K.
Substitutes
57. Ambrazaitis M. 25. Anderson Cordeiro 17. Andrejev M. 12. Grinkevicius L. (G) 53. Juozapavicius J. 7. Norvilas D. 21. Praleika S. 24. Razvadauskas A. 20. Toleikis K. 77. Venckus I. 1. Vitkauskas A. (G)	43. Borgersen A. 38. Ceide M. K. 39. Islamovic D. 15. Mortensen J. 19. Pereira A. 4. Racic L. 2. Reitan E. 9. Saeter O. 12. Sandberg R. (G) 24. Sorum H. (G) 5. Zeidan M.
Coaches
Marques Afonso D.	Johansson A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Volden H. 🟨,
42', Vaananen S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Nemcik T. ↓, Pereira A. ↑,
58', Emsis A. ↓, Venckus I. ↑,
61', Witry A. F. ↓, Reitan E. ↑,
61', Selnaes O. ↓, Zeidan M. ↑,
62', 0 - 1, Nordli S. ⚽,
66', 0 - 2, Holm N. ⚽,
67', Holm N. ↓, Islamovic D. ↑,
76', Seedorf S. ↓, Andrejev M. ↑,
80', Nordli S. ↓, Mortensen J. ↑,
82', Srebalius P. ↓, Anderson Cordeiro ↑,
83', Laton ↓, Praleika S. ↑,
83', Magdusauskas V. ↓, Ambrazaitis M. ↑,
89', Zeidan M. 🟨,
90+3', Venckus I. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 0-5. 2nd leg.

Banga has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Rosenborg is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Rosenborg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Banga has had a series of away games.

In this match, Rosenborg is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Banga won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Banga Gargždai
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.25	Rosenborg - Banga Gargždai	5:0 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
13.07.25	Džiugas Telšiai - Banga Gargždai	0:0 ✺
04.07.25	Žalgiris - Banga Gargždai	1:0 ✺
30.06.25	Banga Gargždai - Kauno Žalgiris	0:2 ✺
24.06.25	Dainava Alytus - Banga Gargždai	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LTLLL
- Rosenborg BK
Norwegian Eliteserien
27.07.25	Rosenborg - Tromsø	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.25	Rosenborg - Banga Gargždai	5:0 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
18.07.25	Sarpsborg 08 - Rosenborg	2:2 ✺
13.07.25	Rosenborg - Hamarkameratene	2:0 ✺
06.07.25	Sandefjord - Rosenborg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.25	Rosenborg - Banga Gargždai	5:0

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