Match Info

NIFL Premiership - Relegation Group - Round 36

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Clandeboye Park (Bangor)

Referee: McGonigle S. (Nir)


	Bangor		Glenavon

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.3	2.28
	3.13	3.4	2.29
	2.74	3.43	2.32	Watch
	2.9	3.2	2.3
	2.78	3.3	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.69)	3.33 ↓ (3.46)	2.3 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Bangor
32%

Draw
27.8%

Glenavon
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

26.7%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

26.7%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bangor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Glenavon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bangor than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Glenavon than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Bangor - Glenavon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Deane G. (G) 10. Cushnie B. 16. Fallon S. 19. Francis L. 7. Hassin L. 29. Hughes I. 17. Lynch H. 28. McGuinness S. 25. Morgan M. 8. Mulvenna T. 3. Neale R.	1. Carney J. (G) 3. Burns P. 10. Campbell P. 28. Falls C. 18. Ferris N. 30. Lindsay C. 29. McGovern P. 6. McKeown B. 2. McMullan J. 32. Mountney J. 4. Murphy H.
Substitutes
21. Boyd J. 20. Garrett R. 4. Haughey M. 27. McMahon L. (G) 35. Mitchell A. 15. O'Mahony J. 26. Ritchie J.	27. Carlin S. 23. Gilmore G. 24. Harkin M. 17. Lowe K. 14. O'Kane O. 31. Quinn N. 20. Wilson B.
Coaches
Feeney L.	O'Connor M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Cushnie B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', McKeown B. 🟨,
72', Morgan M. ↓, Boyd J. ↑,
72', Fallon S. ↓, O'Mahony J. ↑,
72', Hughes I. ↓, Garrett R. ↑,
77', McGuinness S. 🟨,
85', O'Mahony J. ↓, Ritchie J. ↑,
90+4', Neale R. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Bangor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Bangor won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 2.3:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Bangor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 2:5).

Outrights of Northern Irish Premiership for now

Bangor FC: 0.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Bangor FC	10	1	2	7	10:22	-12	5

Last Results with these Odds

Glenavon - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 39.02%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bangor FC
Northern Irish Premiership
07.04.26	Crusaders - Bangor	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Dungannon Swifts - Bangor	0:1 ✺
10.03.26	Bangor - Glentoran	0:4 ✺
28.02.26	Carrick Rangers - Bangor	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Bangor - Glenavon	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 TWLTL
- Glenavon FC
Northern Irish Premiership
07.04.26	Ballymena United - Glenavon	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Glenavon - Portadown	1:1 ✺
20.03.26	Glenavon - Larne	0:3 ✺
14.03.26	Crusaders - Glenavon	0:3 ✺
28.02.26	Glenavon - Portadown	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Premiership
21.02.26	Bangor - Glenavon	1:3
06.12.25	Glenavon - Bangor	1:2
11.10.25	Glenavon - Bangor	0:3
Club Friendly
19.07.22	Bangor - Glenavon	3:7

Upcoming Matches