Match Info

Carioca 2 - Round 11

Date: 12 July 2025, Saturday


	Bangu		Petrópolis

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.2	4
	2.08	3.05	3.6
	2.09	3	3.41
				Watch
	1.94	3.04	3.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.57)	3.07 ↓ (3.5)	3.73 ↓ (5.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bangu
46.1%

Draw
29.6%

Petrópolis
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

25.9%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

24.2%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bangu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bangu's form might have worsened.

Petrópolis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Petrópolis's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bangu than the current prediction. (+15.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bangu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petrópolis than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Petrópolis, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bangu - Petrópolis Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bangu (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 11 in the zone Relegation ~ Carioca B1).

Bangu is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Petrópolis has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Bangu could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bangu AC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
05.07.25	Resende - Bangu	0:2 ✺
28.06.25	Bangu - Cabofriense	2:0 ✺
21.06.25	Pérolas Negras - Bangu	1:1 ✺
14.06.25	Bangu - Americano Rio de Janeiro	1:1 ✺
08.06.25	Araruama - Bangu	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWTTW
- Petrópolis FC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
05.07.25	São Gonçalo - Petrópolis	1:1 ✺
29.06.25	Petrópolis - Resende	1:1 ✺
22.06.25	Cabofriense - Petrópolis	1:1 ✺
07.06.25	Americano Rio de Janeiro - Petrópolis	1:0 ✺
04.06.25	Petrópolis - Araruama	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TTTLT

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