Match Info

BRAZIL: CARIOCA - TACA GUANABARA - ROUND 4

Date: 28 January 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio Moça Bonita (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: Caetano T. (Bra)


	Bangu		Vasco da Gama

	1	X	2
	8	4.75	1.36
	8	4.75	1.36	Watch
	7.4	4.3	1.34
	8.68	4.66	1.29
	8.5	5.5	1.22
	11.5	5.25	1.25
	7	4.6	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.44 ↑ (4.1)	4.83 ↑ (3.8)	1.31 ↓ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bangu
10.9%

Draw
19%

Vasco da Gama
70.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.8%

24.5%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bangu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bangu's form might have worsened.

Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vasco da Gama's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Bangu - Vasco da Gama Predictions

Users Predictions: Vasco da Gama will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gabriel Leite (G) 8. Adsson 9. Anderson Lessa (C) 33. Bruno Tatavitto 10. Cleyton 25. Erick Daltro 11. Gabriel Canela 2. Gabriel Saulo 3. Luiz Felipe 4. Victor Oliveira 5. Walney	1. Leo Jardim (G) 7. David 16. Erick Marcus 8. Jair 38. Joao Victor 6. Lucas Piton 17. Medel G. (C) 18. Paulinho 10. Payet D. 32. Rojas R. 99. Vegetti P.
Substitutes
14. Andre Santos 12. Carlao (G) 23. Edgar Neto 21. Gabryel Vinicius 19. Joao Maranhao 22. Lorran 15. Lucas Marreta 17. Renatinho 13. Ricardo Cerqueira 18. Ronald Barbosa 16. Ruan 20. Somalia	24. Halls (G) 3. Leo 4. Maicon 85. Mateus Carvalho 26. Matheus Juliao 96. Paulo Henrique 21. Praxedes 77. Rayan Vitor 2. Rodriguez J. 31. Rossi 70. Serginho 23. Ze Gabriel
Coaches
Alexandre Gomes	Diaz R.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca (Taca Guanabara ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bangu won 0.

Vasco in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Vasco could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Vasco is indisputable favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Bangu won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 8-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Bangu won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bangu AC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
24.01.24	Bangu - Nova Iguaçu	2:3 ✺
20.01.24	Botafogo RJ - Bangu	2:0 ✺
17.01.24	Portuguesa RJ - Bangu	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio
06.09.23	Bangu - Duque de Caxias	0:2 ✺
30.08.23	Duque de Caxias - Bangu	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LLLLW
- Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
25.01.24	Vasco da Gama - Madureira	2:0 ✺
Serie Rio de la Plata
21.01.24	Deportivo Maldonado - Vasco da Gama	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
21.01.24	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Vasco da Gama	3:3 ✺
Serie Rio de la Plata
18.01.24	San Lorenzo - Vasco da Gama	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
18.01.24	Vasco da Gama - Boavista	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
09.03.23	Vasco da Gama - Bangu	2:0
17.02.22	Vasco da Gama - Bangu	2:0
03.04.21	Vasco da Gama - Bangu	4:2
19.01.20	Vasco da Gama - Bangu	0:0
07.04.19	Vasco da Gama - Bangu	2:1
28.03.19	Bangu - Vasco da Gama	0:1
23.03.19	Vasco da Gama - Bangu	1:2

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