Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 21

Date: 4 February 2024, Sunday


	Calahorra		Barakaldo

	1	X	2
	3.75	2.95	1.93
	4	3.2	1.95
	3.5	2.92	1.91
	4.17	3.08	1.97
	3.98	3.13	1.97
	3.9	3	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.88 ↑ (2.9)	3.05 ↑ (3.02)	1.95 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Calahorra
23.4%

Draw
29.9%

Barakaldo
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

30.7%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

30.4%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Calahorra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Calahorra's form might have worsened.

Barakaldo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barakaldo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calahorra than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Calahorra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barakaldo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Calahorra - Barakaldo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Recent matches Calahorra is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Barakaldo in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Calahorra could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Barakaldo will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Calahorra won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Calahorra won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Calahorra
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
27.01.24	Arenas Club de Getxo - Calahorra	0:1 ✺
21.01.24	Calahorra - San Juan	1:1 ✺
13.01.24	Mutilvera - Calahorra	0:2 ✺
07.01.24	Zaragoza B - Calahorra	0:0 ✺
17.12.23	Calahorra - Alavés B	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WTWTL
- Barakaldo CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
28.01.24	Barakaldo - Utebo	1:1 ✺
21.01.24	Barakaldo - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:0 ✺
13.01.24	San Juan - Barakaldo	0:2 ✺
07.01.24	Mutilvera - Barakaldo	1:3 ✺
16.12.23	Barakaldo - Zaragoza B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
24.09.23	Barakaldo - Calahorra	1:1
08.03.20	Barakaldo - Calahorra	1:1
20.10.19	Calahorra - Barakaldo	3:3
31.03.19	Calahorra - Barakaldo	2:1
11.11.18	Barakaldo - Calahorra	1:2

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