Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 25

Date: 2 March 2024, Saturday


	Gernika		Barakaldo

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.1	1.82
	4.5	3.25	1.8	Watch
	4.25	3.05	1.71
	4.38	3.13	1.91
	4.27	3.18	1.89
	4.1	3.15	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.27 ↑ (3.3)	3.14 ↑ (2.9)	1.83 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gernika
21.3%

Draw
29%

Barakaldo
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

31.1%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

30.5%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gernika has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gernika's form might have worsened.

Barakaldo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barakaldo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gernika than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gernika, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barakaldo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gernika - Barakaldo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gernika won 1.

Recent matches Gernika is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Barakaldo is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Barakaldo will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Gernika won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Gernika won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gernika Club
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
24.02.24	Arenas Club de Getxo - Gernika	0:0 ✺
18.02.24	Gernika - San Juan	1:0 ✺
10.02.24	Mutilvera - Gernika	3:0 ✺
04.02.24	Gernika - Zaragoza B	0:1 ✺
28.01.24	Alavés B - Gernika	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 TWLLW
- Barakaldo CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
25.02.24	Barakaldo - Real Sociedad C	5:0 ✺
18.02.24	Náxara - Barakaldo	0:0 ✺
11.02.24	Barakaldo - Tudelano	3:1 ✺
04.02.24	Calahorra - Barakaldo	1:1 ✺
28.01.24	Barakaldo - Utebo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
22.10.23	Barakaldo - Gernika	3:3
19.05.19	Barakaldo - Gernika	1:2
06.01.19	Gernika - Barakaldo	0:1
17.02.18	Gernika - Barakaldo	0:0
01.10.17	Barakaldo - Gernika	2:0
23.04.17	Gernika - Barakaldo	2:0
27.11.16	Barakaldo - Gernika	0:1

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