Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 18

Date: 29 January 2023, Sunday


	Barakaldo		Lagun Onak

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.1	6
	1.4	3.75	5.75
	1.42	3.95	5.8
	1.41	3.96	6.52
	1.42	4.2	6.95
	1.45	4.2	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.33)	4.03 ↓ (4.4)	6.17 ↓ (6.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barakaldo
63.2%

Draw
22.3%

Lagun Onak
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67%

20.2%

12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.6%

19.2%

12.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barakaldo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Lagun Onak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barakaldo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lagun Onak than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Barakaldo - Lagun Onak Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 8).

Barakaldo is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Lagun Onak is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lagun Onak could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Barakaldo is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Barakaldo to win the game is with odds 1.37.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Barakaldo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Barakaldo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barakaldo CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
21.01.23	Urduliz - Barakaldo	1:1 ✺
15.01.23	Barakaldo - Aurrerá Ondarroa	4:0 ✺
07.01.23	Deusto - Barakaldo	1:1 ✺
17.12.22	Barakaldo - Touring KE	4:0 ✺
11.12.22	Aurrerá de Vitoria - Barakaldo	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TWTWW
- CD Lagun Onak
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
22.01.23	Lagun Onak - Deusto	0:1 ✺
14.01.23	Touring KE - Lagun Onak	1:2 ✺
07.01.23	Aurrerá de Vitoria - Lagun Onak	1:1 ✺
17.12.22	Lagun Onak - Durango	2:1 ✺
10.12.22	Padura - Lagun Onak	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
24.09.22	Lagun Onak - Barakaldo	0:1
23.01.22	Barakaldo - Lagun Onak	2:2

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