Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 10

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday


	Barakaldo		UD Logroñés

	1	X	2
	2.87	2.95	2.25
	3	3.1	2.35
	2.96	2.97	2.56
	2.96	2.92	2.56
	2.8	3.1	2.38
	2.95	2.95	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.52)	3 ↑ (2.63)	2.41 ↓ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barakaldo
31.4%

Draw
30.6%

UD Logroñés
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

34.5%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

36.2%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barakaldo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

UD Logroñés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting UD Logroñés's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barakaldo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD Logroñés than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for UD Logroñés, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Barakaldo - UD Logroñés Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Barakaldo won 0.

Barakaldo is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Logroñés is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Barakaldo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Logroñés have a series of home games.

Logroñés will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Barakaldo won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Barakaldo won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barakaldo CF
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	Barakaldo - Málaga	0:1 penalties ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
28.10.23	Brea - Barakaldo	0:2 ✺
22.10.23	Barakaldo - Gernika	3:3 ✺
14.10.23	Real Sociedad C - Barakaldo	0:1 ✺
08.10.23	Barakaldo - Náxara	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWTWW
- UD Logroñés
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.11.23	UD Logroñés - Valencia	0:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
29.10.23	UD Logroñés - Arenas Club de Getxo	5:1 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
25.10.23	UD Logroñés - Badalona Futur	2:3 ET ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
21.10.23	San Juan - UD Logroñés	0:4 ✺
15.10.23	UD Logroñés - Mutilvera	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
22.12.19	Barakaldo - UD Logroñés	0:1
20.01.19	Barakaldo - UD Logroñés	0:1
01.09.18	UD Logroñés - Barakaldo	1:1
21.01.18	UD Logroñés - Barakaldo	1:1
03.09.17	Barakaldo - UD Logroñés	0:0
26.02.17	UD Logroñés - Barakaldo	0:1
09.10.16	Barakaldo - UD Logroñés	0:0

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