Barcelona - Atlético Madrid: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • Champions League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Date: 8 April 2026, Wednesday
  • Location: Camp Nou (Barcelona)
  • Referee: Kovacs I. (Rou)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Barcelona Atlético Madrid
    Barcelona Atlético Madrid
    1 X 2
    #Advertisement. GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ 1.5 5 5.5
    betsson 1.52 4.9 5.85
    Bet_in_Asia 1.53 5.1 5.75
    GGBet 1.52 5.24 5.49
    Williamhill 1.5 4.6 5
    BetNow 1.53 5.08 5.59
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.52
    (1.54)
    4.99
    (4.84)
    5.53
    (5.15)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

    • The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Barcelona
    63.4%
    Draw
    19.3%
    Atlético Madrid
    17.4%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    61.9% 19.7% 18.5%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    64.8% 18.8% 17.7%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barcelona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    86.7% 5.1% 8.2%
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    Predictions

  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Barcelona (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 4 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Barcelona will win (85 of 97 users predict this - 87.63%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 81.08%94.18%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Barcelona will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Barcelona (votes: 11 - 100%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
    13. SpainGarcia J. (G)
    23. FranceKounde J.
      5. SpainCubarsi P.
    18. SpainMartin G.
      2. PortugalCancelo J.
    24. SpainGarcia E.
      8. SpainPedri (C)
    10. SpainLamine Yamal
    20. SpainOlmo D.
    14. EnglandRashford M.
      9. PolandLewandowski R.
      1. ArgentinaMusso J. (G)
    16. ArgentinaMolina N.
    24. SpainLe Normand R.
    17. SlovakiaHancko D.
      3. ItalyRuggeri M.
    20. ArgentinaSimeone G.
    14. SpainLlorente M.
      6. SpainKoke (C)
    22. NigeriaLookman A.
      7. FranceGriezmann A.
    19. ArgentinaAlvarez J.
    Substitutes
      4. UruguayAraujo R.
      3. SpainBalde A.
    28. SwedenBardghji R.
    17. SpainCasado M.
    36. SpainCortes A.
    42. SpainEspart X.
    16. SpainFermín
      6. SpainGavi
    31. USAKochen D. (G)
    43. SpainMarques T.
    25. PolandSzczesny W. (G)
      7. SpainTorres F.
    11. ArgentinaAlmada T.
    10. SpainBaena A.
    33. Spainde Luis M. (G)
    34. SpainDiaz J.
    31. SpainEsquivel S. (G)
    23. ArgentinaGonzalez N.
    15. FranceLenglet C.
      4. SpainMendoza R.
    18. SpainPubill M.
      9. NorwaySorloth A.
    21. MexicoVargas O.
    Coaches
         GermanyFlick H.
         ArgentinaSimeone D.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (0 - 1)
    • 31', Koke 🟨,
    • 31', Hancko D. , Pubill M. ,
    • 44', Cubarsi P. 🟥,
    • 45', 0 - 1, Alvarez J. ,
    • 45+1', Pubill M. 🟨,
    • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
    • 46', Pedri , Gavi ,
    • 46', Lewandowski R. , Fermín ,
    • 60', Lookman A. , Sorloth A. ,
    • 60', Koke , Baena A. ,
    • 63', Baena A. 🟨,
    • 65', Gavi 🟨,
    • 70', 0 - 2, Sorloth A. , Ruggeri M. (A),
    • 73', Rashford M. , Torres F. ,
    • 73', Kounde J. , Araujo R. ,
    • 80', Simeone G. , Almada T. ,
    • 80', Griezmann A. , Gonzalez N. ,
    • 86', Cancelo J. , Balde A. ,
    • 90+4', Cancelo J. 🟨,

    Preview

  • First leg.
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 4.
  • Barcelona is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
  • Atlético has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
  • In this match, Barcelona is considered a favorite.
  • There will not play in Barcelona: Bernal M. (Ankle Injury) Christensen A. (Knee Injury) Raphinha (Thigh Injury) de Jong F. (Hamstring Injury)
  • There will not play in Atlético: Barrios P. (Muscle Injury) Cardoso J. (Muscle Injury) Gimenez J. M. (Injury) Oblak J. (Muscle Injury)
  • We predict that Barcelona will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 35:24. (average 1.8:1.2).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Barcelona won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:14. (average 2.1:1.3).
  • banner

    Form
    - easy match; - difficult match;
    - FC Barcelona
    Spanish LaLiga
    04.04.26 Atlético Madrid - Barcelona 1:2
    22.03.26 Barcelona - Rayo Vallecano 1:0
    UEFA Champions League
    18.03.26 Barcelona - Newcastle United 7:2
    Spanish LaLiga
    15.03.26 Barcelona - Sevilla 5:2
    UEFA Champions League
    10.03.26 Newcastle United - Barcelona 1:1
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5
    WWWWT
    - Atlético Madrid
    Spanish LaLiga
    04.04.26 Atlético Madrid - Barcelona 1:2
    22.03.26 Real Madrid - Atlético Madrid 3:2
    UEFA Champions League
    18.03.26 Tottenham Hotspur - Atlético Madrid 3:2
    Spanish LaLiga
    14.03.26 Atlético Madrid - Getafe 1:0
    UEFA Champions League
    10.03.26 Atlético Madrid - Tottenham Hotspur 5:2
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1
    LLLWW
    Latest Head to Head
    Spanish LaLiga
    04.04.26 Atlético Madrid - Barcelona 1:2
    Spanish Copa del Rey
    03.03.26 Barcelona - Atlético Madrid 3:0
    12.02.26 Atlético Madrid - Barcelona 4:0
    Spanish LaLiga
    02.12.25 Barcelona - Atlético Madrid 3:1
    Spanish Copa del Rey
    02.04.25 Atlético Madrid - Barcelona 0:1
    Spanish LaLiga
    16.03.25 Atlético Madrid - Barcelona 2:4
    Spanish Copa del Rey
    25.02.25 Barcelona - Atlético Madrid 4:4
    Upcoming Matches
    - easy match; - difficult match;
    - FC Barcelona
    Spanish LaLiga
    31.08.26 Barcelona - Rayo Vallecano
    27.08.26 Barcelona - Athletic Bilbao
    - Atlético Madrid
    Spanish LaLiga
    29.08.26 Sevilla - Atlético Madrid