Match Info

Champions League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: St. James' Park (Newcastle) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Guida M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	21:00	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	17:00	Disney+, FOX Sports
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 3
Belgium	21:00	Pickx+ Sports 4, Pickx+ Sports 4, RTL Club, RTL Play, VTM 2, VTM GO
Bolivia	16:00	ESPN 2, ESPN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	17:00	HBO Max, SBT, TNT Sports
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 3
Canada	16:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	17:00	ESPN Premium
China	04:00	iQIYI, ZhiBo8
Colombia	15:00	ESPN 2
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	21:00	TV3+, Viaplay
Ecuador	15:00	ESPN 2
Europe	—	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	21:00	CANAL+ Foot, CANAL+ Sport, New World TV
Germany	21:00	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong Kong	04:00	beIN Sports 3
Hungary	21:00	RTL+, Sport 1
India	01:30	JioTV app, Sony LIV
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Moji, Vidio
Ireland	20:00	Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
Israel	22:00	5 SPORT Israel
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253
Kazakhstan	02:00	Qazsport
Kenya	23:00	Gotv
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Canal+ Sport 1, Sooka
Mexico	14:00	HBO Max
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	09:00	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	21:00	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North Central America	—	RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean
North Macedonia	21:00	TDM Desporto
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play
Pakistan	01:00	Tapmad
Paraguay	17:00	ESPN 2
Peru	15:00	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Portugal	20:00	Sport TV5
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	23:00	Okko Sport
Singapore	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	21:00	Kanal A, Nova Sport 6
South Africa	22:00	SuperSport Premier League
South America	—	ViX Latin America
South Korea	05:00	SPOTV Now
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	21:00	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	03:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	23:00	Tabii
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United Kingdom	20:00	Amazon Prime Video, BBC Radio 5 Live, Virgin TV Go app
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	16:00	Paramount+, SiriusXM FC, TUDN App, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter
Vietnam	03:00	ON Plus, VTV Prime
International	20:00	VIX App


	Newcastle United		Barcelona

	1	X	2
	2.6	4	2.38
	2.85	3.75	2.25
	2.68	3.95	2.42
	2.71	4.01	2.44
	2.74	4.03	2.4	Watch
	2.63	3.7	2.38
	2.83	4.1	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↓ (2.8)	3.93 ↓ (3.97)	2.37 ↑ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newcastle United
35.2%

Draw
24.3%

Barcelona
40.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.3%

24.2%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

24%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newcastle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Barcelona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18%	12%	70%

Newcastle United - Barcelona Predictions

Users Predictions: 100 users predict this event. Newcastle will win (votes: 18 - 18%). Barcelona will win (votes: 70 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 12%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barcelona: 61% – 79%. The data is statistically significant.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

TQ, OT - Barcelona (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Newcastle (1.75) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Barcelona (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Barcelona (1.82) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DNB - Barcelona (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Barcelona will win (26 of 32 users predict this - 81.25%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 42 Selected Experts predict this event. Newcastle (votes: 3 - 7.1%). Barcelona (votes: 35 - 83.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 9.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Ramsdale A. (G) 2. Trippier K. (C) 12. Thiaw M. 33. Burn D. 3. Hall L. 41. Ramsey J. 8. Tonali S. 7. Joelinton 20. Elanga A. 18. Osula W. 11. Barnes H.	13. Garcia J. (G) 4. Araujo R. (C) 5. Cubarsi P. 18. Martin G. 2. Cancelo J. 22. Bernal M. 8. Pedri 10. Lamine Yamal 16. Fermín 11. Raphinha 9. Lewandowski R.
Substitutes
4. Botman S. 10. Gordon A. 58. Harris A. (G) 21. Livramento V. 37. Murphy A. 23. Murphy J. 62. Neave S. 1. Pope N. (G) 26. Ruddy J. (G) 28. Willock J. 9. Wissa Y. 27. Woltemade N.	28. Bardghji R. 17. Casado M. 36. Cortes A. 42. Espart X. 24. Garcia E. 6. Gavi 31. Kochen D. (G) 43. Marques T. 20. Olmo D. 14. Rashford M. 25. Szczesny W. (G) 7. Torres F.
Coaches
Howe E.	Flick H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Tonali S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
67', Trippier K. ↓, Livramento V. ↑,
67', Osula W. ↓, Gordon A. ↑,
67', Elanga A. ↓, Murphy J. ↑,
68', Cancelo J. 🟨,
70', Pedri ↓, Olmo D. ↑,
70', Lewandowski R. ↓, Rashford M. ↑,
73', Bernal M. ↓, Casado M. ↑,
86', 1 - 0, Barnes H. ⚽, Murphy J. (A),
88', Fermín ↓, Torres F. ↑,
88', Araujo R. ↓, Espart X. ↑,
90', Barnes H. ↓, Willock J. ↑,
90+4', Willock J. 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 1, Lamine Yamal (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

First leg.

In recent matches, Newcastle has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Barcelona is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Newcastle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Newcastle has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Newcastle: Bruno Guimaraes (Muscle Injury) Gillespie M. (Inactive) Krafth E. (Knee Injury) Miley L. (Knee Injury) Schar F. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Barcelona: Balde A. (Hamstring Injury) Christensen A. (Knee Injury) Gavi (Knee Injury) Kounde J. (Hamstring Injury) de Jong F. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Newcastle won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Including home match between the teams, Newcastle won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Barcelona	3	2	0	1	11:6	5	6

Outrights of UEFA Champions League for now

Barcelona: 17.06%

Last Results with these Odds

Barcelona - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 41.55%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newcastle United
English FA Cup
07.03.26	Newcastle United - Manchester City	1:3 ✺
English Premier League
04.03.26	Newcastle United - Manchester United	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Newcastle United - Everton	2:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
24.02.26	Newcastle United - Qarabağ Agdam	3:2 ✺
English Premier League
21.02.26	Manchester City - Newcastle United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWLWL
- FC Barcelona
Spanish LaLiga
07.03.26	Athletic Bilbao - Barcelona	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.03.26	Barcelona - Atlético Madrid	3:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
28.02.26	Barcelona - Villarreal	4:1 ✺
22.02.26	Barcelona - Levante	3:0 ✺
16.02.26	Girona - Barcelona	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
18.09.25	Newcastle United - Barcelona	1:2

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