Match Info

LaLiga - Round 26

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Camp Nou (Barcelona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, CANAL+ Sport 4, DStv Now, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	SuperSport 1
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN
Azerbaijan	Idman TV
Bangladesh	Begin
Belarus	Belarus 5
Bolivia	Red Uno, Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cuba	Tele Rebelde
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Europe	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Georgia	Silk Universal
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Madagascar	UpTV
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga 2, M+ LaLiga
Sweden	TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Uzbekistan	Zor TV
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	SCTV 22


	Barcelona		Villarreal

	1	X	2
	1.33	6	7	Watch
	1.35	5.9	7.4
	1.37	6	7.35
	1.38	6.13	7.08	Watch
	1.36	5	6.5
	1.42	6.09	6.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.3)	5.85 ↓ (6.56)	7.01 ↓ (7.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barcelona
70%

Draw
16.4%

Villarreal
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73%

14.5%

12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.9%

14.3%

12.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barcelona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Villarreal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.4%	13.5%	8.1%

Barcelona - Villarreal Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.75 - Barcelona (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

EH +1 - Barcelona (1.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Barcelona (1.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Barcelona (1.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Villarreal (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - draw (3.05) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Users Predictions: Barcelona will win (29 of 37 users predict this - 78.38%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.12% – 91.64%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Barcelona will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Barcelona (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Villarreal (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Garcia J. (G) 23. Kounde J. 5. Cubarsi P. 24. Garcia E. 3. Balde A. 16. Fermín 22. Bernal M. 20. Olmo D. 10. Lamine Yamal 7. Torres F. 11. Raphinha (C)	1. Luiz Junior (G) 15. Mourino S. 6. Navarro P. 12. Veiga R. 23. Cardona S. 19. Pepe N. 14. Comesana S. (C) 18. Gueye P. 20. Moleiro A. 22. Perez A. 9. Mikautadze G.
Substitutes
33. Aller E. (G) 4. Araujo R. 19. Bardghji R. 2. Cancelo J. 17. Casado M. 9. Lewandowski R. 43. Marques T. 8. Pedri 14. Rashford M. 25. Szczesny W. (G)	17. Buchanan T. 3. Freeman A. 11. Gonzalez A. 4. Marin R. 21. Oluwaseyi T. 10. Parejo D. 16. Partey T. 24. Pedraza A. 25. Tenas A. (G)
Coaches
Flick H.	Marcelino G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Lamine Yamal ⚽, Fermín (A),
37', 2 - 0, Lamine Yamal ⚽, Fermín (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', 2 - 1, Gueye P. ⚽, Mourino S. (A),
53', Bernal M. 🟨,
55', Flick H. 🟨,
55', Marcelino 🟨,
56', Raphinha 🟨,
59', Olmo D. ↓, Pedri ↑,
67', Torres F. ↓, Lewandowski R. ↑,
67', Bernal M. ↓, Araujo R. ↑,
67', Moleiro A. ↓, Pedraza A. ↑,
67', Perez A. ↓, Buchanan T. ↑,
68', Pedraza A. 🟨,
69', 3 - 1, Lamine Yamal ⚽, Pedri (A),
73', Raphinha ↓, Rashford M. ↑,
73', Lamine Yamal ↓, Bardghji R. ↑,
80', Cardona S. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
80', Comesana S. ↓, Parejo D. ↑,
84', Pepe N. ↓, Oluwaseyi T. ↑,
90+1', 4 - 1, Lewandowski R. ⚽, Kounde J. (A),

Preview

Limited number of spectators.

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 3.

Recent performances by Barcelona have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Villarreal is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Villarreal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Barcelona is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Barcelona: Christensen A. (Knee Injury) Martin G. (Yellow Cards) de Jong F. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Villarreal: Cabanes P. (Knee Injury) Costa L. (Knee Injury) Foyth J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Moreno G. (Injury)

There are questionable in Barcelona: Gavi (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Villarreal: Kambwala W. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 14 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 55:27. (average 2.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Barcelona won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:13. (average 2.8:1.4).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Barcelona: 70.96% Villarreal: 0.44%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31:7	24	21
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13:12	1	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Barcelona
Spanish LaLiga
22.02.26	Barcelona - Levante	3:0 ✺
16.02.26	Girona - Barcelona	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
12.02.26	Atlético Madrid - Barcelona	4:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
07.02.26	Barcelona - Mallorca	3:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.02.26	Albacete Balompié - Barcelona	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLWW
- Villarreal CF
Spanish LaLiga
22.02.26	Villarreal - Valencia	2:1 ✺
18.02.26	Levante - Villarreal	0:1 ✺
14.02.26	Getafe - Villarreal	2:1 ✺
09.02.26	Villarreal - Espanyol	4:1 ✺
31.01.26	Osasuna - Villarreal	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
21.12.25	Villarreal - Barcelona	0:2
18.05.25	Barcelona - Villarreal	2:3
22.09.24	Villarreal - Barcelona	1:5
27.01.24	Barcelona - Villarreal	3:5
27.08.23	Villarreal - Barcelona	3:4
12.02.23	Villarreal - Barcelona	0:1
20.10.22	Barcelona - Villarreal	3:0

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