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Osasuna - Villarreal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • LaLiga - Round 22
  • Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday
  • Location: Estadio El Sadar (Pamplona)
  • Referee: De Burgos R. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Osasuna Villarreal
    Osasuna Villarreal
    1 X 2
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    betsson 2.68 3.35 2.62
    Bet_in_Asia 2.8 3.39 2.67
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    Williamhill 2.63 3.2 2.6
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    Bovada 2.8 3.25 2.6
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.77 ↓
    (3.01)    		 3.33 ↓
    (3.63)    		 2.58 ↑
    (2.25)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

    • The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Osasuna
    34.5%    		Draw
    28.6%    		Villarreal
    36.9%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    31.6% 26.2% 42.2%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    31.1% 26.6% 42.9%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Osasuna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • Villarreal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Villarreal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osasuna than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villarreal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    25% 38.9% 36.1%

    Osasuna - Villarreal Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Osasuna will win (votes: 9 - 25%). Villarreal will win (votes: 13 - 36.1%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 38.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23% – 54.8%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Osasuna (votes: 6 - 60%). Villarreal (votes: 4 - 40%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 66.7%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
      1. SpainHerrera S. (G)
    19. FranceRosier V.
    22. CameroonBoyomo F.
    24. SpainCatena A.
    20. SpainGalan J.
      7. SpainMoncayola J.
      6. SpainTorro L.
    21. SpainMunoz V.
    14. SpainGarcia R. (C)
    15. SpainMoro R.
    17. CroatiaBudimir A.
    		  1. BrazilLuiz Junior (G)
    15. UruguayMourino S.
      4. SpainMarin R.
    12. PortugalVeiga R.
    24. SpainPedraza A.
    19. IvoryPepe N.
    10. SpainParejo D.
    18. SenegalGueye P.
    20. SpainMoleiro A.
      7. SpainMoreno G. (C)
      9. GeorgiaMikautadze G.
    Substitutes
    41. SpainArguibide I.
    11. SpainBarja K.
    18. SurinameBecker S.
    23. SpainBretones A.
      3. SpainCruz J.
    13. SpainFernandez A. (G)
      9. SpainGarcia R.
    16. SpainGomez M.
      5. SpainHerrando J.
      8. SpainMunoz I.
    10. SpainOroz A.
    29. SpainOsambela A.
    		17. CanadaBuchanan T.
    23. SpainCardona S.
    14. SpainComesana S.
      3. USAFreeman A.
    32. SpainLopez H.
    37. SpainMacia C.
      6. SpainNavarro P.
    21. CanadaOluwaseyi T.
    25. SpainTenas A. (G)
    Coaches
         ItalyLisci A.
    		     SpainMarcelino G.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (2 - 1)
    • 17', 0 - 1, Moreno G. (Penalty Awarded),
    • 19', Pedraza A. 🟨,
    • 20', 1 - 1, Munoz V. ⚽, Garcia R. (A),
    • 38', Catena A. 🟨,
    • 45+2', 2 - 1, Budimir A. ⚽, Moncayola J. (A),
    • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
    • 46', Catena A. ↓, Herrando J. ↑,
    • 46', Pedraza A. ↓, Cardona S. ↑,
    • 62', Moro R. ↓, Oroz A. ↑,
    • 70', 2 - 2, Moreno G. ⚽, Pepe N. (A),
    • 72', Torro L. 🟨,
    • 75', Mikautadze G. ↓, Buchanan T. ↑,
    • 75', Parejo D. ↓, Comesana S. ↑,
    • 75', Lisci A. 🟨,
    • 76', Budimir A. ↓, Garcia R. ↑,
    • 76', Garcia R. ↓, Bretones A. ↑,
    • 83', Moreno G. ↓, Oluwaseyi T. ↑,
    • 90', Veiga R. 🟨,

    Preview

  • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Osasuna won 0.
  • Recent performances by Osasuna have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
  • Villarreal is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
  • Osasuna may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
  • There will not play in Osasuna: Benito I. (Knee Injury)
  • There will not play in Villarreal: Cabanes P. (Knee Injury) Costa L. (Knee Injury) Foyth J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Kambwala W. (Hamstring Injury)
  • There are questionable in Villarreal: Gonzalez A. (Muscle Injury) Perez A. (Injury)
  • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Osasuna won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 20:40. (average 1.1:2.2).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Osasuna won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:17. (average 1:2.1).

    • Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now
    Villarreal: 0.44% Osasuna: 0.26%

    Standings

    PlWDLDiffPts
    9Villarreal722313:1218
    13Osasuna72236:13-78

    Last Results with these Odds

    Villarreal - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 42.24%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

    Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Osasuna
    Spanish LaLiga
    24.01.26 Rayo Vallecano - Osasuna 1:3 ✺
    17.01.26 Osasuna - Real Oviedo 3:2 ✺
    Spanish Copa del Rey
    13.01.26 Real Sociedad - Osasuna 3:2 penalties ✺
    Spanish LaLiga
    10.01.26 Girona - Osasuna 1:0 ✺
    03.01.26 Osasuna - Athletic Bilbao 1:1 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3
    WWLLT
    - Villarreal CF
    UEFA Champions League
    28.01.26 Bayer Leverkusen - Villarreal 3:0 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga
    24.01.26 Villarreal - Real Madrid 0:2 ✺
    UEFA Champions League
    20.01.26 Villarreal - Ajax 1:2 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga
    17.01.26 Betis - Villarreal 2:0 ✺
    10.01.26 Villarreal - Deportivo Alavés 3:1 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6
    LLLLW
    Latest Head to Head
    Spanish LaLiga
    20.09.25 Villarreal - Osasuna 2:1
    03.05.25 Villarreal - Osasuna 4:2
    24.11.24 Osasuna - Villarreal 2:2
    25.05.24 Osasuna - Villarreal 1:1
    26.11.23 Villarreal - Osasuna 3:1
    19.03.23 Osasuna - Villarreal 0:3
    17.10.22 Villarreal - Osasuna 2:0
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Osasuna
    Spanish LaLiga
    11.10.26 Betis - Osasuna ✺
    - Villarreal CF
    UEFA Champions League
    13.10.26 Villarreal - Napoli ✺
    Spanish LaLiga
    10.10.26 Real Madrid - Villarreal ✺

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