Match Info

LaLiga - Round 25

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio de la Ceramica (Villarreal) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Manzano J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 4, CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	21:00	SuperSport 2
Argentina	17:00	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA 6, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
Australia	07:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	21:00	DAZN
Azerbaijan	00:00	Idman TV
Bangladesh	02:00	Begin
Belarus	23:00	Belarus 5
Bolivia	16:00	Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	17:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 4
Canada	15:00	TSN+
Chile	17:00	DirecTV Sports
China	04:00	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	21:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Ecuador	15:00	DirecTV Sports
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	21:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Georgia	00:00	Silk Universal
Germany	21:00	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	22:00	Nova Sports 1
Hong Kong	04:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	21:00	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	01:30	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
Iran	23:30	IRIB Varzesh
Israel	22:00	ONE Sport
Italy	21:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	05:00	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	23:00	Gotv
Kosovo	21:00	Arena Premium 3, ART Sport 3
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Macao	04:00	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	01:00	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	14:00	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Mozambique	22:00	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	09:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	21:00	SuperSport LaLiga
North Central America	—	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1, Viaplay
Peru	15:00	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	21:00	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	23:00	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	04:00	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	21:00	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	21:00	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South Africa	22:00	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South America	—	DGO Latin America
Spain	21:00	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	21:00	Discovery+, TV12, TV4 Play
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	03:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	23:00	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	20:00	Disney+, LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	17:00	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	15:00	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	16:00	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	03:00	SCTV 15


	Villarreal		Valencia

	1	X	2
	1.7	4	4.75	Watch
	1.68	3.9	4.8
	1.7	3.95	4.7	Watch
	1.72	4.08	4.88
	1.71	3.98	4.72	Watch
	1.7	3.8	4.5
	1.76	4.12	4.93	Watch
	1.7	4	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.74)	3.98 ↑ (3.86)	4.75 ↑ (4.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarreal
55.9%

Draw
24%

Valencia
20.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.2%

24.5%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

24.1%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Valencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69%	17.2%	13.8%

Villarreal - Valencia Predictions

Users Predictions: 57 users predict this event. Villarreal will win (votes: 40 - 70.2%). Valencia will win (votes: 7 - 12.3%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 17.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Villarreal: 58.3% – 82.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Villarreal (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Valencia (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -1 - Valencia (9.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - Valencia (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Villarreal (votes: 9 - 50%). Valencia (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 5 - 27.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Luiz Junior (G) 15. Mourino S. 6. Navarro P. 12. Veiga R. 23. Cardona S. 19. Pepe N. 14. Comesana S. 18. Gueye P. 20. Moleiro A. 22. Perez A. 9. Mikautadze G.	1. Dimitrievski S. (G) 4. Nunez U. 24. Comert E. 3. Copete J. 14. Gaya J. 17. Ramazani L. 23. Ugrinic F. 2. Rodriguez G. 11. Rioja L. 8. Guerra J. 6. Sadiq U.
Substitutes
17. Buchanan T. 3. Freeman A. 11. Gonzalez A. 32. Lopez H. 21. Oluwaseyi T. 10. Parejo D. 16. Partey T. 24. Pedraza A. 25. Tenas A. (G) 27. Valou J.	28. Abril V. (G) 10. Almeida A. 12. Correia T. 7. Danjuma A. 9. Duro H. 27. Otorbi D. 18. Pepelu 19. Raba D. 13. Rivero C. (G) 22. Santamaria B. 5. Tarrega C. 21. Vazquez J.
Coaches
Marcelino G.	Corberan C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
23', Mikautadze G. 🟨,
27', 0 - 1, Ramazani L. (Penalty Awarded),
31', 1 - 1, Comesana S. ⚽,
38', Ramazani L. 🟨,
45', Mourino S. 🟨,
45+3', Guerra J. 🟨,
45+6', 2 - 1, Gueye P. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Gueye P. ↓, Partey T. ↑,
65', Nunez U. 🟨,
70', Moleiro A. ↓, Pedraza A. ↑,
70', Perez A. ↓, Buchanan T. ↑,
70', Ugrinic F. ↓, Danjuma A. ↑,
71', Nunez U. ↓, Correia T. ↑,
78', Rioja L. ↓, Duro H. ↑,
78', Gaya J. ↓, Vazquez J. ↑,
83', Pepe N. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
83', Comesana S. ↓, Parejo D. ↑,
88', Rodriguez G. ↓, Almeida A. ↑,
90', Sadiq U. 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villarreal won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Valencia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Villarreal has had a series of away games.

In this match, Villarreal is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Villarreal: Cabanes P. (Knee Injury) Costa L. (Knee Injury) Foyth J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Moreno G. (Injury)

There will not play in Valencia: Agirrezabala J. (Hamstring Injury) Diakhaby M. (Muscle Injury) Foulquier D. (Knee Injury) Lopez D. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Villarreal: Gonzalez A. (Calf Injury) Kambwala W. (Hamstring Injury) Marin R. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Valencia: Beltran L. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Villarreal won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:27. (average 1.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Villarreal won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 1.3:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Villarreal	10	3	3	4	15:14	1	12
19	Valencia	10	1	3	6	7:17	-10	6

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Villarreal: 0.4% Valencia: 0.15%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarreal CF
Spanish LaLiga
18.02.26	Levante - Villarreal	0:1 ✺
14.02.26	Getafe - Villarreal	2:1 ✺
09.02.26	Villarreal - Espanyol	4:1 ✺
31.01.26	Osasuna - Villarreal	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.01.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Villarreal	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWTL
- CF Valencia
Spanish LaLiga
15.02.26	Levante - Valencia	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Valencia - Real Madrid	0:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.02.26	Valencia - Athletic Bilbao	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
01.02.26	Betis - Valencia	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Valencia - Espanyol	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
25.10.25	Valencia - Villarreal	0:2
15.02.25	Villarreal - Valencia	1:1
31.08.24	Valencia - Villarreal	1:1
17.03.24	Villarreal - Valencia	1:0
02.01.24	Valencia - Villarreal	3:1
03.05.23	Valencia - Villarreal	1:1
31.12.22	Villarreal - Valencia	2:1

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