Match Info

LaLiga - Round 25

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio de la Ceramica (Villarreal)

Referee: Manzano J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA 6, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Idman TV
Bangladesh	Begin
Belarus	Belarus 5
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Georgia	Silk Universal
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3, ART Sport 3
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1, Viaplay
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	Discovery+, TV12, TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Disney+, LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	SCTV 15


	Villarreal		Valencia

	1	X	2
	1.7	4	4.75	Watch
	1.68	3.9	4.8
	1.7	3.95	4.7	Watch
	1.72	4.08	4.88
	1.71	3.98	4.72	Watch
	1.7	3.8	4.5
	1.76	4.12	4.93	Watch
	1.7	4	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.74)	3.98 ↑ (3.86)	4.75 ↑ (4.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarreal
55.9%

Draw
24%

Valencia
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

24.5%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

24.1%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Valencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69%	17.2%	13.8%

Villarreal - Valencia Predictions

Users Predictions: 57 users predict this event. Villarreal will win (votes: 40 - 70.2%). Valencia will win (votes: 7 - 12.3%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 17.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Villarreal: 58.3% – 82.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Villarreal (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Valencia (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -1 - Valencia (9.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - Valencia (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Villarreal (votes: 9 - 50%). Valencia (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 5 - 27.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Luiz Junior (G) 15. Mourino S. 6. Navarro P. 12. Veiga R. 23. Cardona S. 19. Pepe N. 14. Comesana S. 18. Gueye P. 20. Moleiro A. 22. Perez A. 9. Mikautadze G.	1. Dimitrievski S. (G) 4. Nunez U. 24. Comert E. 3. Copete J. 14. Gaya J. 17. Ramazani L. 23. Ugrinic F. 2. Rodriguez G. 11. Rioja L. 8. Guerra J. 6. Sadiq U.
Substitutes
17. Buchanan T. 3. Freeman A. 11. Gonzalez A. 32. Lopez H. 21. Oluwaseyi T. 10. Parejo D. 16. Partey T. 24. Pedraza A. 25. Tenas A. (G) 27. Valou J.	28. Abril V. (G) 10. Almeida A. 12. Correia T. 7. Danjuma A. 9. Duro H. 27. Otorbi D. 18. Pepelu 19. Raba D. 13. Rivero C. (G) 22. Santamaria B. 5. Tarrega C. 21. Vazquez J.
Coaches
Marcelino G.	Corberan C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
23', Mikautadze G. 🟨,
27', 0 - 1, Ramazani L. (Penalty Awarded),
31', 1 - 1, Comesana S. ⚽,
38', Ramazani L. 🟨,
45', Mourino S. 🟨,
45+3', Guerra J. 🟨,
45+6', 2 - 1, Gueye P. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Gueye P. ↓, Partey T. ↑,
65', Nunez U. 🟨,
70', Moleiro A. ↓, Pedraza A. ↑,
70', Perez A. ↓, Buchanan T. ↑,
70', Ugrinic F. ↓, Danjuma A. ↑,
71', Nunez U. ↓, Correia T. ↑,
78', Rioja L. ↓, Duro H. ↑,
78', Gaya J. ↓, Vazquez J. ↑,
83', Pepe N. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
83', Comesana S. ↓, Parejo D. ↑,
88', Rodriguez G. ↓, Almeida A. ↑,
90', Sadiq U. 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villarreal won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Valencia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Villarreal has had a series of away games.

In this match, Villarreal is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Villarreal: Cabanes P. (Knee Injury) Costa L. (Knee Injury) Foyth J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Moreno G. (Injury)

There will not play in Valencia: Agirrezabala J. (Hamstring Injury) Diakhaby M. (Muscle Injury) Foulquier D. (Knee Injury) Lopez D. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Villarreal: Gonzalez A. (Calf Injury) Kambwala W. (Hamstring Injury) Marin R. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Valencia: Beltran L. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Villarreal won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:27. (average 1.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Villarreal won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 1.3:0.7).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Villarreal: 0.44% Valencia: 0.31%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13:12	1	8
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4:13	-9	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarreal CF
Spanish LaLiga
18.02.26	Levante - Villarreal	0:1 ✺
14.02.26	Getafe - Villarreal	2:1 ✺
09.02.26	Villarreal - Espanyol	4:1 ✺
31.01.26	Osasuna - Villarreal	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.01.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Villarreal	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWTL
- CF Valencia
Spanish LaLiga
15.02.26	Levante - Valencia	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Valencia - Real Madrid	0:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.02.26	Valencia - Athletic Bilbao	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
01.02.26	Betis - Valencia	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Valencia - Espanyol	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
25.10.25	Valencia - Villarreal	0:2
15.02.25	Villarreal - Valencia	1:1
31.08.24	Valencia - Villarreal	1:1
17.03.24	Villarreal - Valencia	1:0
02.01.24	Valencia - Villarreal	3:1
03.05.23	Valencia - Villarreal	1:1
31.12.22	Villarreal - Valencia	2:1

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