Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 30

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadi Johan Cruyff (Barcelona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Barca TV, FEF TV


	Barcelona B		Leonesa

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.5	1.9
	3.1	3.3	2
	3.35	3.5	2.01
	3.42	3.57	1.94	Watch
	3.59	3.59	1.95
	3.35	3.5	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↑ (2.96)	3.49 ↑ (3.35)	1.97 ↓ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barcelona B
27.1%

Draw
26.3%

Leonesa
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

27.3%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

26.5%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barcelona B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona B than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Barcelona B - Leonesa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Astralaga A. (G) 37. Torrents J. 14. Cortes A. 2. Trilli 4. Mbacke M. 24. Bikoue 39. Soma P. 8. Garrido A. 20. Fernandez G. 19. Dacosta R. 16. Fernandez T.	1. Banuz M. (G) 17. Martinez A. 2. Garcia V. 3. Satrustegui E. 5. Fornos Q. 22. Pibe 6. Presa K. (C) 14. Bicho 11. Samanes S. 10. Chacon L. 9. Justo M.
Substitutes
31. Aller E. (G) 15. Aziz Issah A. 11. Barbera V. 21. Darvich N. 5. Dominguez S. 25. Oduro D. 38. Olmedo A. 12. Piera J. 45. Virgili J.	20. Alba T. 13. Amigo (G) 21. Artola J. 8. Barri 7. Calderon C. 18. Lanchi 16. Maestre S. 31. Martinez I. 12. Ortega G. 4. Rodri Suarez 15. Ruiz V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Bikoue ⚽,
34', Torrents J. 🟨,
36', Presa K. 🟥,
39', Trilli 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Samanes S. ↓, Maestre S. ↑,
46', Trilli ↓, Olmedo A. ↑,
56', Pibe ↓, Calderon C. ↑,
67', Bikoue ↓, Virgili J. ↑,
67', Fernandez G. ↓, Barbera V. ↑,
69', Chacon L. ↓, Barri ↑,
75', 2 - 0, Virgili J. ⚽,
76', Mbacke M. ↓, Dominguez S. ↑,
80', Garcia V. ↓, Ruiz V. ↑,
80', Justo M. ↓, Artola J. ↑,
86', Dacosta R. ↓, Darvich N. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Barcelona B won 1.

Barcelona B is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Leonesa is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Leonesa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Leonesa will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Barcelona B won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8:10 (average 1.1:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Barcelona B won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Barcelona B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
21.03.25	Athletic Bilbao B - Barcelona B	2:2 ✺
15.03.25	Barcelona B - Tarazona	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Barcelona B - Osasuna B	0:2 ✺
02.03.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Barcelona B	3:2 ✺
23.02.25	Barcelona B - Arenteiro	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TTLLL
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
22.03.25	Leonesa - Real Unión de Irun	1:1 ✺
16.03.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Leonesa - Zamora	1:1 ✺
02.03.25	Osasuna B - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
22.02.25	Leonesa - Celta de Vigo B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 TTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
11.01.25	Leonesa - Barcelona B	1:1
25.02.24	Barcelona B - Leonesa	4:0
19.11.23	Leonesa - Barcelona B	3:1
Spanish LaLiga2
07.04.18	Barcelona B - Leonesa	0:1
05.11.17	Leonesa - Barcelona B	1:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF Promotion Play Offs
28.05.17	Leonesa - Barcelona B	2:1
20.05.17	Barcelona B - Leonesa	0:2

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