Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 27

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Reino de León (León)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Leonesa		Zamora

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.5	5
	1.87	3.2	3.7
	1.64	3.6	5.2
	1.67	3.61	5.3
	1.64	3.56	5.03	Watch
	1.65	3.54	5.15
	1.64	3.6	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.94)	3.52 ↑ (3.24)	4.94 ↑ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leonesa
55.1%

Draw
26.2%

Zamora
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

28.1%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

27.1%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leonesa's performance.

Zamora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zamora might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leonesa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zamora could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Leonesa - Zamora Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Banuz M. (G) 2. Garcia V. 5. Fornos Q. 3. Satrustegui E. 17. Martinez A. 14. Bicho 8. Barri 22. Pibe 21. Artola J. 10. Chacon L. 9. Justo M.	1. Sobron F. (G) 15. Lucero R. 5. Alvarez A. 6. Ramirez J. 3. Nieto S. 21. Priego J. 14. Kike 4. Claveria P. 10. Ramos C. 20. Tresaco R. 9. Pito Camacho
Substitutes
20. Alba T. 13. Amigo (G) 7. Calderon C. 19. Escobar A. 18. Lanchi 16. Maestre S. 4. Rodri Suarez 28. Ruiz A. 26. Ruiz J. (G) 15. Ruiz V.	13. Altube D. (G) 19. Bello E. 23. Campabadal E. 22. Castaneda J. 2. Gorjon A. 16. Gutierrez C. 7. Hernandez D. 18. Macho G. 11. Romero Morillo A. 17. Roni

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Garcia V. ↓, Lanchi ↑,
26', Justo M. 🟨,
35', Kike 🟨,
40', Chacon L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', Alvarez A. 🟨,
58', Artola J. ↓, Maestre S. ↑,
58', Pibe ↓, Calderon C. ↑,
60', Pito Camacho ↓, Roni ↑,
70', 0 - 1, Tresaco R. ⚽,
74', Ramos C. ↓, Macho G. ↑,
74', Priego J. ↓, Campabadal E. ↑,
75', Bicho ↓, Escobar A. ↑,
75', Barri ↓, Alba T. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 1, Fornos Q. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 and 10).

Leonesa is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Zamora is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Zamora could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Leonesa is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leonesa won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:8 (average 1.4:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Leonesa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
02.03.25	Osasuna B - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
22.02.25	Leonesa - Celta de Vigo B	2:0 ✺
15.02.25	Real Sociedad B - Leonesa	2:2 ✺
09.02.25	Leonesa - Amorebieta	2:1 ✺
01.02.25	Sestao - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TWTWT
- Zamora CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
02.03.25	Zamora - Barakaldo	2:1 ✺
23.02.25	FC Andorra - Zamora	2:1 ✺
15.02.25	Zamora - Barcelona B	1:0 ✺
08.02.25	Sestao - Zamora	1:1 ✺
01.02.25	Zamora - Athletic Bilbao B	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
15.09.24	Zamora - Leonesa	0:1
01.05.22	Leonesa - Zamora	0:0
11.12.21	Zamora - Leonesa	2:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
09.05.21	Leonesa - Zamora	2:3
18.04.21	Zamora - Leonesa	3:2

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