Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 26

Date: 2 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Tajonar Facilities Stadium (Pamplona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Osasuna B		Leonesa

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.2	1.93
	4.08	3.36	1.91
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.74 ↓ (3.9)	3.28 ↓ (3.48)	1.92 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osasuna B
24.5%

Draw
27.9%

Leonesa
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.5%

26.3%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.3%

25%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osasuna B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Leonesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osasuna B than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leonesa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Osasuna B - Leonesa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stamatakis D. (G) 2. Moreno D. 4. Garriz I. 18. Espejo D. 22. Arguibide I. 24. Sierra I. 20. Arroyo R. 21. Garcia J. 8. Osambela A. 12. Pedroarena M. 16. Ogbuehi S.	1. Banuz M. (G) 2. Garcia V. 4. Rodri Suarez 3. Satrustegui E. 17. Martinez A. 6. Presa K. 8. Barri 22. Pibe 14. Bicho 10. Chacon L. 9. Justo M.
Substitutes
6. Echegoyen M. 14. Huarte X. 23. Lopez N. 11. Lorenzo N. 7. Lumbreras C. 17. Moreno P. 5. Mutilva C. 31. Rafa (G) 9. Sancho D. 15. Santos U.	20. Alba T. 21. Artola J. 7. Calderon C. 19. Escobar A. 5. Fornos Q. 18. Lanchi 16. Maestre S. 12. Ortega G. 28. Ruiz A. 26. Ruiz J. (G) 15. Ruiz V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Satrustegui E. (Own goal),
21', Ogbuehi S. 🟨,
39', Presa K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', Pedroarena M. ↓, Lumbreras C. ↑,
61', Garcia V. ↓, Artola J. ↑,
61', Presa K. ↓, Lanchi ↑,
61', Ogbuehi S. ↓, Echegoyen M. ↑,
61', Garcia J. ↓, Huarte X. ↑,
66', Espejo D. 🟨,
71', 🟨,
77', Barri ↓, Escobar A. ↑,
85', Moreno D. ↓, Santos U. ↑,
85', Arroyo R. ↓, Lopez N. ↑,
85', Pibe ↓, Calderon C. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 1, Justo M. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Osasuna B won 1.

Recent matches Osasuna B is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Leonesa is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Leonesa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Leonesa will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Osasuna B won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:3 (average 0.7:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Osasuna B won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Osasuna B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
23.02.25	Tarazona - Osasuna B	1:1 ✺
16.02.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Osasuna B	2:4 ✺
09.02.25	Osasuna B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:1 ✺
02.02.25	Lugo - Osasuna B	3:1 ✺
24.01.25	Osasuna B - Real Sociedad B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TWTLT
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
22.02.25	Leonesa - Celta de Vigo B	2:0 ✺
15.02.25	Real Sociedad B - Leonesa	2:2 ✺
09.02.25	Leonesa - Amorebieta	2:1 ✺
01.02.25	Sestao - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Leonesa - Unionistas de Salamanca	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
22.09.24	Leonesa - Osasuna B	1:0
24.03.24	Osasuna B - Leonesa	0:0
17.09.23	Leonesa - Osasuna B	0:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
22.12.19	Leonesa - Osasuna B	0:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
14.05.17	Leonesa - Osasuna B	1:0
18.12.16	Osasuna B - Leonesa	2:1

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